February 2, 2013
Competitive racing expected on the classic race day. Choices for the day are as follows -
Zanthos after finishing 2 lenghts behind Zidaan in race 63 , was expected to do well in race 135. Finished a distance behind the same horse. Looks difficult at this handicap,
6.Monet ,Bonobo , Sophisticated
Ice Cool is " under watch " on account of riders antics in race 114. On merit a good chance.
Monet - has the weights to tackle , last run was in superior company. Rider merit can help it do better here.
Bonobo - Impressive winner in race 146. Goes over Ideal trip , place looks good. Can upset.
Antonius Maximus - stable mate will be fancied , ran a good 2 nd to winds of fortune which is seen in classic company. Can hope to place.
Sophisticated - not sure what to expect , has been a dismal performer since debut. One reason to consider is extended distance.
I do feel that there is a surprise element this year and hence fancied horses may falter.
New world , the jockey does not impress.
C.Alford making a exceptional debut in Mumbai in derby race is a ?? Got abroad jockeys are given a few races ahead of feature event to get a feel of the tracks and pace . Not sure if C Alford even attempted to get a ride.
A.A.T , fitness concerns are all over cyberspace.
Weakness of Machiavellianism and Shivalik Hero have been mentioned earler.
Wind Stream - does have merit to win a graded race. Concern is on account of long absence from tracks.
The rest 4 which are in my horizon are – Borsalino , Hemisphere , Winds of Fortune and Ceasars Star.
Borsalino is a stout stayer and if jockey rides well , can annex the Derby. It did win twice when wet conditions were prevalent at blr and hyd .This horse loves to hit the front and that is a sign of aggression. If given short rests during the trip , it can surely prove to be a live threat to fancied runners.
Ceasars Star is written off by many. Last year Ranthambore was the entry from the trainer. The presence of S De Souza and the fact that the horse has done 2400 trip earlier gives room for hope on its chances. Horse did not race against classic hopefuls for various reasons , that cant be held against it.
Winds of Fortune - late entry , horse is on the upswing , why ignore at longer odds.
In any case this event does not deserve BIG wager . If winner picking is easy , why offer lucrative odds on fancied horses ?? Nothing wrong in taking a chance on any of these 3 runners e/way.
Can Win - Ranthambore , Hawaiian Princess , Ice Age
Each way - Appalachia , Stilleto , Hills and Heights