Thoughts,opinions and musings of a restless Blogger. What I see from where I am & how I see it. You could say , original & insightful , therefore this blog exists. It gives me deep fulfillment if it could give happiness to the reader
November 30, 2007
Saturday Race Selections
Following are my preferences for the day .
1.Classic Movements , Hard Cash ,Crimson Orchid.
Bad race with Awesome Fighter Choclate Brownie Orange Orchid and Record Time having NIL Chances.Among the rest , these could be considered based on prevailing odds.
2.Reflection of Gold , Alcmene , Pleasant Glory.( long shot Freedom Fighter )
The First named is very very impressive in the work outs and May have a say in the Finish.Pleasant Glory has impressive bloodline and the Stable has a very good record in races framed for youngsters.ALCMENE is also well bred and the dam has given some good sprinters.
3.Good competive race with many contenders.The Four Foriegn Jockeys should be involved in the finish.Asiaticus has the benifit of a run and can fight it out with Bountiful heights.Chilly Wind is looking good and can Upset.
4.Cascabel, Star of Excellence ,Ciampino.Choice of Jockey rule out many other contenders.
5.Chief's Dream , Stafire , Noble Guest , Alandra.
Chief's Dream has the class to over come the handicap disadvantage.Stafire can run close though the distance looks sharp for this Horse.Noble Guest has the handicap in its favour.Can strike if the connexions decide to.
6.Green Bax , Lady One , Hesperus.
First named has the benifit of a run but has not WON in Bangalore for a long time .Can overcome that Jinx.Jersey Pride from the same stable has the scales against it and looks very difficult for place also.Sugar Brown has negative change in equipment and hence ignored.Mercurial has only the Mysore performance to go by and not sure if it can beat all seasoned campaigners.Lady one has the services of a New Jockey and hence a bet on His First Mount in India is avoidable.The Horse is good.
7.Briannsta Look Alike and Star Blue have better credentials than the rest.
8.Scintillating Style , Candance, Kemrock and Dock of Bay.
Scintillating Style has been a late finisher in its earlier runs.Has the potential to score.Good each way BET.
Kemrock was sacrified in its previous run and hence i would ignore it this time inspite of the merit.Dock of Bay has had a controvesial career till date and can/may WIN but avoidable for these very reasons.
Candance should PLACE based on its earlier run.
Good each way bets : Reflection of Gold , Asisticus , Cascabel , Chief's Dream.
Place hopefuls : Noble Guest , Freedom Fighter , Ciampino , Look Alike.
Long shot : Classic Movements.
Good Luck ,
Shyam
November 28, 2007
Thursday race selections
" The best day of your life is the one on which you decide your life is your own. No apologies or excuses. No one to lean on, rely on, or blame. The gift is yours - it is an amazing journey - and you alone are responsible for the quality of it. This is the day your life really begins. " Bob Moawad
Hi all ,
1 st race :
7 horse field with 3 runners from Jodha.It looks open though Artillery might be fancied ahead of the best based on the timings clocked in pune.But the change of Ownership and Stables does not convey a positive impression.Hence avoidable bet for WIN.Alaskan Zone and Item bomb have not been streched in Pune and can finish ahead of Artillery.Stubbs is capable of an upset.Chopsani Malasi and Attia in Sunlight can be ignored.
2nd race :
Dont not carried away be the Jockeys and pedigree of Horses as all the Horses are tracking well.
I would go for Hi Dolly , Pomme De terre and Angels Glory.Always can strike if Odds are above 8 to 1.
3 rd race :
Eagle Mountain has definitely run with much superior Horses and hence should get First Preference.Misschevious Trot will place.Tommy Carmicheal and WAHY should fight for the other place spot.
4 th race :
SCHNELL CARLOS MAJESTICAL COTSWOLD ARMS -
The last named might be fancied but the struggle to Win against Radiating makes me doubtful of its class.I would consider the other three based on the prevailing odds. SCHNELL and Majestical should place definitely.Iam unable to spot any track work of RUNAWAY star else that would have been the clear WInner.
5 th race :
Take On should Win based on its earlier pune record.Blazing Speed and Red Amytheist can place.Major Roberts can be considered on its next appearance in the race tracks.
6 th race : Entirely avoidable .
Johnny Bravo , Peaches and Cream and Sparrow Hawk are appealing to me.
7 th race :
The Right Man , Sphinx ,Nuncio and MayBach.
Note :
1.Too Many contenders from Haresh Mehta in the fray and from different trainers.May strike.
2.Lagad can open his account.
3.After Sunday debacle the Stables of MAM and Poonawala can come back with a BANG.However Mumbai is not MYSORE.
SHYAM
Hi all ,
1 st race :
7 horse field with 3 runners from Jodha.It looks open though Artillery might be fancied ahead of the best based on the timings clocked in pune.But the change of Ownership and Stables does not convey a positive impression.Hence avoidable bet for WIN.Alaskan Zone and Item bomb have not been streched in Pune and can finish ahead of Artillery.Stubbs is capable of an upset.Chopsani Malasi and Attia in Sunlight can be ignored.
2nd race :
Dont not carried away be the Jockeys and pedigree of Horses as all the Horses are tracking well.
I would go for Hi Dolly , Pomme De terre and Angels Glory.Always can strike if Odds are above 8 to 1.
3 rd race :
Eagle Mountain has definitely run with much superior Horses and hence should get First Preference.Misschevious Trot will place.Tommy Carmicheal and WAHY should fight for the other place spot.
4 th race :
SCHNELL CARLOS MAJESTICAL COTSWOLD ARMS -
The last named might be fancied but the struggle to Win against Radiating makes me doubtful of its class.I would consider the other three based on the prevailing odds. SCHNELL and Majestical should place definitely.Iam unable to spot any track work of RUNAWAY star else that would have been the clear WInner.
5 th race :
Take On should Win based on its earlier pune record.Blazing Speed and Red Amytheist can place.Major Roberts can be considered on its next appearance in the race tracks.
6 th race : Entirely avoidable .
Johnny Bravo , Peaches and Cream and Sparrow Hawk are appealing to me.
7 th race :
The Right Man , Sphinx ,Nuncio and MayBach.
Note :
1.Too Many contenders from Haresh Mehta in the fray and from different trainers.May strike.
2.Lagad can open his account.
3.After Sunday debacle the Stables of MAM and Poonawala can come back with a BANG.However Mumbai is not MYSORE.
SHYAM
Mysore races : Some chance bets
Hi all ,
these are some horses which can be considered ( based on odds )
The names are not in any order and in case of Longer odds EACH way Punt is recommended.
Cold war , Executive Spirit and Second to go.
Ariba , Rhododendron , Silver cat and Artistic Way.
Hero's Dominance , Greek Ship , Pal Joey and Ever Blazing.
Advocate General , Island Pearl , Miraculous Ruler.
Forever Grande , Witch Doctor , Stonroway.
Hi Hennessy , Legendary Queen and Dancers Wave.
Guided Missile , Connaught Square , Evanston and Spark of Glory.
Worth a Gold ,Copenhagen , Cadre Noir , Mr Bureacrat .
Any of these at 4 to 1 and below can be Safely ignored.
SHYAM
these are some horses which can be considered ( based on odds )
The names are not in any order and in case of Longer odds EACH way Punt is recommended.
Cold war , Executive Spirit and Second to go.
Ariba , Rhododendron , Silver cat and Artistic Way.
Hero's Dominance , Greek Ship , Pal Joey and Ever Blazing.
Advocate General , Island Pearl , Miraculous Ruler.
Forever Grande , Witch Doctor , Stonroway.
Hi Hennessy , Legendary Queen and Dancers Wave.
Guided Missile , Connaught Square , Evanston and Spark of Glory.
Worth a Gold ,Copenhagen , Cadre Noir , Mr Bureacrat .
Any of these at 4 to 1 and below can be Safely ignored.
SHYAM
November 25, 2007
chance bets for hyderabad
Hi all , my choices for the day are as follows ;
Bernardo : could be the shortest priced bet for the day @ around 60/70paisa based on the previous outing second.Avoidable at these odds.CAN WIN / SHOULD WIN but not worth a punt below EVEN money at Hyderabad.
Opulence may place if Doing my Best is unable to
2 year old's in action.Seems quite OPEN but going by track work the Best Horse seems to be EASY FLASH.
Reconnect , Onera Onera Onera and CANOPUS can also shine.
EKTA EKTA EKTA , World Vision , Favorable Terms , Basha.race might be restricted to these 4 Horses only.Avoid a WIN bet on All Round.
Global Presence , Mission Chief and Touch of Gold ahould be thefrontline contenders with a chance to score.
AUXILIARY is a GENUINE class horse but looks difficult at this Handicap.Also if one were tocompare the Timings of Global and Auxillary for the last run ( sameday ), the former has a better chance based on handicap.
Vb race.Cannon Gain , Avon George , Golden Flame can be consideredbased on prevailing ODDS.ALTAI , Final Frontier , Choice of White and Blue Wave. Race should be restricted to these 4 only.
Zarshuk , Fusion Music , Hospitaluty and Cygnet are the ONLY Horseswhich can WIN and so the Placings may also have the above 4 only.
Good luck
SHYAM
Bernardo : could be the shortest priced bet for the day @ around 60/70paisa based on the previous outing second.Avoidable at these odds.CAN WIN / SHOULD WIN but not worth a punt below EVEN money at Hyderabad.
Opulence may place if Doing my Best is unable to
2 year old's in action.Seems quite OPEN but going by track work the Best Horse seems to be EASY FLASH.
Reconnect , Onera Onera Onera and CANOPUS can also shine.
EKTA EKTA EKTA , World Vision , Favorable Terms , Basha.race might be restricted to these 4 Horses only.Avoid a WIN bet on All Round.
Global Presence , Mission Chief and Touch of Gold ahould be thefrontline contenders with a chance to score.
AUXILIARY is a GENUINE class horse but looks difficult at this Handicap.Also if one were tocompare the Timings of Global and Auxillary for the last run ( sameday ), the former has a better chance based on handicap.
Vb race.Cannon Gain , Avon George , Golden Flame can be consideredbased on prevailing ODDS.ALTAI , Final Frontier , Choice of White and Blue Wave. Race should be restricted to these 4 only.
Zarshuk , Fusion Music , Hospitaluty and Cygnet are the ONLY Horseswhich can WIN and so the Placings may also have the above 4 only.
Good luck
SHYAM
November 24, 2007
Sunday Mumbai races
MAM and Company might have to do with 3/5 races or 2/5 only.Most web sites , race books and newspapers would give 5/5 which seems a bit far fetched.
On the whole a pretty bad card framed.The poonawala family would want to garner all glory at the cost of good racing and one can expect the Mystcial race to be shown on the closed circuit TV a thousand times.Though the official Card states 9 races , the actual races are 4 , with 5 races having less than 8 runners and one race for VB Horses.The three competitive races are all that We can look forward to.
1.Catalunya , Firey Future , Pheonix Rising , touch and go between these three horses.At best Hitz can place.
Pheonix Rising's last run was so uninspiring and it was obvious that the Owners were not interested in Winning.So it is better to avoid a bet on this Horse as favorite .The Horse is very well bred but intention to WIN may not be there.Catalunya's pune runs have to be ignored as it was meant to reduce the handicap.
2.Mountain Bear starts as Favorite and has the capability to WIN.Has been unlucky so far in all its three pune runs for various reasons. Strawberry Fields is appearing in racetracks after 3 months but is classy enough to match strides as Her
Conqueror GRUZEI is competing in CLASS 1 race later on in the day.
Queen of the Turf : Not in the same league as the others but is capable of a upset.
place bets recommended based on ODDS.
3.Secret Memory has oodles of class but I get the feeling that the scales are not in His favour tomorrow.But a Small field so the chances of WINNING are good.
I fancy Premier Star : the syndicate is a bit of a bother but a small each way bet would not be a bad decision.
4.Just Four Horses in the fray after ruling our Salandra , Return of the king and Rockefeller.
Blue Vision's last run was dissappointing after the Impressive victory over Peninsula.Should do well with strong saddle
assistance.
Dominatrix is not seen in tracks .The last 2 runs have to be ignored due to the repeated change in tactics which arose due to conflict of interest.CAN strike but will APPU be upto the task ?
Mantalvo does not impress me and World War Three the other Horse in the fray can be considered if it is in the odds.
5.Tehrani , Cocaine , Pace Maker.
VB RACE.very poor field.
6.EVATINA : Should WIN
Haunting after being humbled by Jersey Pride cant be considered based on current form.Iam doubtful for place also.Worth a negative bet.
Oyster Cove , Atmosphere and Giacosa are the other Horses in with a chance.
7.Bourbon King is giving weight but quality of opposition is very very poor.
Perpetuity can come in the dividend payout list.
8.Southern Empire losing to Storm regent a class 3 Horse and then beating Hyderabad based horses which had no merit whatsoever does not carry enough conviction , that too at 60 giving 10 kilos to the rest. Less than 50 pasia woth GOBBLING.
Gruzei is on the upswing and though short of class can WIN.
Regina and See the Truth for last race.
On the whole a pretty bad card framed.The poonawala family would want to garner all glory at the cost of good racing and one can expect the Mystcial race to be shown on the closed circuit TV a thousand times.Though the official Card states 9 races , the actual races are 4 , with 5 races having less than 8 runners and one race for VB Horses.The three competitive races are all that We can look forward to.
1.Catalunya , Firey Future , Pheonix Rising , touch and go between these three horses.At best Hitz can place.
Pheonix Rising's last run was so uninspiring and it was obvious that the Owners were not interested in Winning.So it is better to avoid a bet on this Horse as favorite .The Horse is very well bred but intention to WIN may not be there.Catalunya's pune runs have to be ignored as it was meant to reduce the handicap.
2.Mountain Bear starts as Favorite and has the capability to WIN.Has been unlucky so far in all its three pune runs for various reasons. Strawberry Fields is appearing in racetracks after 3 months but is classy enough to match strides as Her
Conqueror GRUZEI is competing in CLASS 1 race later on in the day.
Queen of the Turf : Not in the same league as the others but is capable of a upset.
place bets recommended based on ODDS.
3.Secret Memory has oodles of class but I get the feeling that the scales are not in His favour tomorrow.But a Small field so the chances of WINNING are good.
I fancy Premier Star : the syndicate is a bit of a bother but a small each way bet would not be a bad decision.
4.Just Four Horses in the fray after ruling our Salandra , Return of the king and Rockefeller.
Blue Vision's last run was dissappointing after the Impressive victory over Peninsula.Should do well with strong saddle
assistance.
Dominatrix is not seen in tracks .The last 2 runs have to be ignored due to the repeated change in tactics which arose due to conflict of interest.CAN strike but will APPU be upto the task ?
Mantalvo does not impress me and World War Three the other Horse in the fray can be considered if it is in the odds.
5.Tehrani , Cocaine , Pace Maker.
VB RACE.very poor field.
6.EVATINA : Should WIN
Haunting after being humbled by Jersey Pride cant be considered based on current form.Iam doubtful for place also.Worth a negative bet.
Oyster Cove , Atmosphere and Giacosa are the other Horses in with a chance.
7.Bourbon King is giving weight but quality of opposition is very very poor.
Perpetuity can come in the dividend payout list.
8.Southern Empire losing to Storm regent a class 3 Horse and then beating Hyderabad based horses which had no merit whatsoever does not carry enough conviction , that too at 60 giving 10 kilos to the rest. Less than 50 pasia woth GOBBLING.
Gruzei is on the upswing and though short of class can WIN.
Regina and See the Truth for last race.
November 23, 2007
Bangalore Classic race day
these are my views for the day.
1.a VB race which bears a Open look and there by scope for some last minute arrangements amongst those who have a stake in the race.From the looks of it , Nice Guy , Royal Flynn , Nice Guy and Majority wins should be involved in the finish.
2.Exclusive Grey might open at very low odds as the case with Scenic Melody today.At the odds offered 95 % of Punters dont bet and so lets not give the tag of the days best , sure shot winner etc.,
On a Roll and Safari can provide some competition. I would have a each way bet on On a ROLL and a place bet on Ready to Mingly simple because the Horse has run with Excl Grey earlier.
3.VB Race , comments in race 1 above hold good.Everything Nice , Pretty N fast do appeal to me.
4.Astounding Blue :Based on the run in race 9 , where in the Horse came in with a flourish towards the end after languishing in the wrong end of the field , should coast to a easy victory.Unfortunately the odds might not be very appealing to many punters.The only possible reason for the Horse to lose could be due to a very poor ride from the jockey.John was miserable last time and if Hayes tries something similar He might have to go back .
Sangini and Replinish should follow.
Sangini has been one of the most consistent Horses and is the only possible threat.
5.Honestly though we have limited options , picking the right horse in this race seems to be a tough task.If the link on Everything's nice , Graphic Design and Command Performance is seen in the right context , GD may look like a Winner.Awesome Beauty and Baffled are no pushovers and if the odds are favorable the Trainers would have a go at it.But as Favorites ( 2 to 1 and below ) they are not worth a BET.
6.Punters are tired of following Alchesaye and the total cost of betting incurred as of date - ie 4/5 times cannot be recovered even if it WINS.Last time there was some interference but I would hesitate to bet on this Horse.if it Wins One could consider a Bet in the next outing.Until then I would take a chance each way bet on South Paradise and Char Chand for Place.
7.With Just 3 GENUINE Horses in the fray OPTIONS are Very much limited.
Class VB non winners appearing in classics is a insult to the racing public.Fitness of Woman on Top is a issue and the Horse trailed the field in Mysore.So unless there is major improvement in its form , looks like Passion to Perform and Wonder to Smile would fight it out.I dont see Hyderabad result repeating here.
8.some real action with 12 horses.
Suave , Serious Warrior , Easy , Hakuna Matata.
Pillar of Gold is not a consistent and reliable Horse and hence not a Safe Bet
If ATTAOLLAHI is unable to taste sucess on Suave in this race , it should be pack up time.
Serious Warrior looks to me as the safest BET Tomorrow for place.( Mumbai 4 Place payouts )
9.Wonder Falcon may have to wait for another day to score.Arabian Memories , ANNA Fleetwood and Allegro are all in with a decent chance to WIN.
Command Performance might upset.
in conclusion , my bets would be :
Royal Flynn , On a Roll ,Pretty N Fast ,Baffled ,South Paradise , Suave , and Allegro (all each way )
place : Replinish , Corus , Char Chand , Serious Warrior and Arabian Memories.
Keep an eye on the Jeyes Racing Syndicate Horses ( with vivek )
SHYAM
1.a VB race which bears a Open look and there by scope for some last minute arrangements amongst those who have a stake in the race.From the looks of it , Nice Guy , Royal Flynn , Nice Guy and Majority wins should be involved in the finish.
2.Exclusive Grey might open at very low odds as the case with Scenic Melody today.At the odds offered 95 % of Punters dont bet and so lets not give the tag of the days best , sure shot winner etc.,
On a Roll and Safari can provide some competition. I would have a each way bet on On a ROLL and a place bet on Ready to Mingly simple because the Horse has run with Excl Grey earlier.
3.VB Race , comments in race 1 above hold good.Everything Nice , Pretty N fast do appeal to me.
4.Astounding Blue :Based on the run in race 9 , where in the Horse came in with a flourish towards the end after languishing in the wrong end of the field , should coast to a easy victory.Unfortunately the odds might not be very appealing to many punters.The only possible reason for the Horse to lose could be due to a very poor ride from the jockey.John was miserable last time and if Hayes tries something similar He might have to go back .
Sangini and Replinish should follow.
Sangini has been one of the most consistent Horses and is the only possible threat.
5.Honestly though we have limited options , picking the right horse in this race seems to be a tough task.If the link on Everything's nice , Graphic Design and Command Performance is seen in the right context , GD may look like a Winner.Awesome Beauty and Baffled are no pushovers and if the odds are favorable the Trainers would have a go at it.But as Favorites ( 2 to 1 and below ) they are not worth a BET.
6.Punters are tired of following Alchesaye and the total cost of betting incurred as of date - ie 4/5 times cannot be recovered even if it WINS.Last time there was some interference but I would hesitate to bet on this Horse.if it Wins One could consider a Bet in the next outing.Until then I would take a chance each way bet on South Paradise and Char Chand for Place.
7.With Just 3 GENUINE Horses in the fray OPTIONS are Very much limited.
Class VB non winners appearing in classics is a insult to the racing public.Fitness of Woman on Top is a issue and the Horse trailed the field in Mysore.So unless there is major improvement in its form , looks like Passion to Perform and Wonder to Smile would fight it out.I dont see Hyderabad result repeating here.
8.some real action with 12 horses.
Suave , Serious Warrior , Easy , Hakuna Matata.
Pillar of Gold is not a consistent and reliable Horse and hence not a Safe Bet
If ATTAOLLAHI is unable to taste sucess on Suave in this race , it should be pack up time.
Serious Warrior looks to me as the safest BET Tomorrow for place.( Mumbai 4 Place payouts )
9.Wonder Falcon may have to wait for another day to score.Arabian Memories , ANNA Fleetwood and Allegro are all in with a decent chance to WIN.
Command Performance might upset.
in conclusion , my bets would be :
Royal Flynn , On a Roll ,Pretty N Fast ,Baffled ,South Paradise , Suave , and Allegro (all each way )
place : Replinish , Corus , Char Chand , Serious Warrior and Arabian Memories.
Keep an eye on the Jeyes Racing Syndicate Horses ( with vivek )
SHYAM
November 22, 2007
Friday race selections
Hi all,
not a very impressive and competitive card .These are my views :
1.Race is restricted to PINAAKINI , SCENIC MELODY and NEAR N DEAR.In case any of these three falter RUDIMENTARY can come into the picture.
Each way bet on PINAAKINI and a Place bet on Near N Dear are worth Considering.
2.Pastiche , In the Zone.
Logan's run would have been a better bet but for the negative change in equipment .
3.Agassiz ,Angel field, Sontag Etoile.
M.Easwar trained Agassiz has the best credentials to score.The only negative factor is the ODDS and the JOCKEY.The odds on the Horses from the stables junp from from 1.5 to 10 very often and at closing time the Place Odds itself would be 2 to 1.With good odds and the right money flowing in can score.
4.Need of the Hour , Perfect Tribute , South Star.
South Star is classic potential but may be need more than 8 furlongs to prove its mettle.Need of the hour is capable of springing a surprise at this handicap.Perfect Tribute is looking good in tracks and should place.Mysore WINNERs are best ignored.
5.CARRA Mia , Rhapsidion Snow , Exclusive Gesture.
Confident Victory might be fancied by all based on earlier run in the Mysore Derby but the Bangalore form was not all that impressive.The horse is at the bottom of the scales and has the best chance to score on handicap but very rarely have MAM horses won CLASS I races on Handicap advantage and with Apprentice Jockeys.
Carra Mia is running after a Long layoff and the trainer has an impecccable record , but selection is based on Horse Merit and handicap.
Rhapsidion Snow is looking impressive in the tracks and should only PLACE.
6.Regal Music , Dam Good , Rain Man , My Winning Charm.
It is very futile to expect Prakash to WIN on every mount accepted and hence Global Genius is not considered.
Being a Class IV race , most of the horses have a chance to score and Fitness and flow of meony will decide the fortunes.
7.Four Horses : Sugar Brown , Pied Harrier , Sunny Land and Top of the Class have a chance to score and it would be worthwhile to opt for the 2 nd or 3 rd Favorite for betting.
Good luck ,
SHYAM
not a very impressive and competitive card .These are my views :
1.Race is restricted to PINAAKINI , SCENIC MELODY and NEAR N DEAR.In case any of these three falter RUDIMENTARY can come into the picture.
Each way bet on PINAAKINI and a Place bet on Near N Dear are worth Considering.
2.Pastiche , In the Zone.
Logan's run would have been a better bet but for the negative change in equipment .
3.Agassiz ,Angel field, Sontag Etoile.
M.Easwar trained Agassiz has the best credentials to score.The only negative factor is the ODDS and the JOCKEY.The odds on the Horses from the stables junp from from 1.5 to 10 very often and at closing time the Place Odds itself would be 2 to 1.With good odds and the right money flowing in can score.
4.Need of the Hour , Perfect Tribute , South Star.
South Star is classic potential but may be need more than 8 furlongs to prove its mettle.Need of the hour is capable of springing a surprise at this handicap.Perfect Tribute is looking good in tracks and should place.Mysore WINNERs are best ignored.
5.CARRA Mia , Rhapsidion Snow , Exclusive Gesture.
Confident Victory might be fancied by all based on earlier run in the Mysore Derby but the Bangalore form was not all that impressive.The horse is at the bottom of the scales and has the best chance to score on handicap but very rarely have MAM horses won CLASS I races on Handicap advantage and with Apprentice Jockeys.
Carra Mia is running after a Long layoff and the trainer has an impecccable record , but selection is based on Horse Merit and handicap.
Rhapsidion Snow is looking impressive in the tracks and should only PLACE.
6.Regal Music , Dam Good , Rain Man , My Winning Charm.
It is very futile to expect Prakash to WIN on every mount accepted and hence Global Genius is not considered.
Being a Class IV race , most of the horses have a chance to score and Fitness and flow of meony will decide the fortunes.
7.Four Horses : Sugar Brown , Pied Harrier , Sunny Land and Top of the Class have a chance to score and it would be worthwhile to opt for the 2 nd or 3 rd Favorite for betting.
Good luck ,
SHYAM
Thursday betting options
These are my choices for the day :
1.Seems to be an open race.
Shower of Roses , Algo Mas , Chardin ( not in any order ) are all in with a chance to score.
2.Teaser , Attia in Sunlight . Emerging Power.
VB Race : so as always , quite open.
3.Premier Diva , Sudarshan Chakram , Very Bonafide.
4.City Tamer , Touch the Sky , Top Action ,Peninsula.
Peninsula not seen much in tracks and hence ignored.
5.Timeless Memories , Call to Arms , Smarty Pant.
6.Premier Perception , Capriani , Council of the gods, Star Always.
Fiery Fox with Belose is not a good betting option.The speedy Dont be silly may need this run after being gelded.
7.Earl of Warwick , Try your Luck , Kempinski.
Good bets : Each Way : Teaser , Touch the Sky , Call to Arms and Premier Perception.
Place : Chardin , Attia in sunlight , Top Action ,Capriani .
Winning bets are a risky proposition except : Timeless Memories and Premier Diva
Good day and happy punting,
SHYAM
1.Seems to be an open race.
Shower of Roses , Algo Mas , Chardin ( not in any order ) are all in with a chance to score.
2.Teaser , Attia in Sunlight . Emerging Power.
VB Race : so as always , quite open.
3.Premier Diva , Sudarshan Chakram , Very Bonafide.
4.City Tamer , Touch the Sky , Top Action ,Peninsula.
Peninsula not seen much in tracks and hence ignored.
5.Timeless Memories , Call to Arms , Smarty Pant.
6.Premier Perception , Capriani , Council of the gods, Star Always.
Fiery Fox with Belose is not a good betting option.The speedy Dont be silly may need this run after being gelded.
7.Earl of Warwick , Try your Luck , Kempinski.
Good bets : Each Way : Teaser , Touch the Sky , Call to Arms and Premier Perception.
Place : Chardin , Attia in sunlight , Top Action ,Capriani .
Winning bets are a risky proposition except : Timeless Memories and Premier Diva
Good day and happy punting,
SHYAM
November 20, 2007
MYSORE : ROLL of DICE Selections
Most of the Races are so very unpredictable that the Roll of Dice method of Betting may bring some relief in Mysore.
These are my picks for the day , and
( as usual if any of these turn out to be in the betting as favorites ,do give them a Skip ) Not worth betting on favorites in Mysore.
1.Divine Force , Courtier , Adventurous World.
2.Third World , Fast Colors , Red Flame.
3.Royal Mirchi , Zabdiel , Fathers Glory.
.4.Pat on the Back , Priceless Legacy , Exclusive Design.
5.Al Jazeera , Worth a Diamond , Swift Sword.
6.Feel My Heart , Custer , Dare u say,Angel of Faith.
7.Ambiens , Cafe Coffee , Royal Assault.
Good day ,
SHYAM
Last race has so many top class jockeys that it is very difficult to pick the Best. So if u need to really bet, then Bet on a Youngster , and incidently the Youngest Horse and Youngest Jockey are both together.
These are my picks for the day , and
( as usual if any of these turn out to be in the betting as favorites ,do give them a Skip ) Not worth betting on favorites in Mysore.
1.Divine Force , Courtier , Adventurous World.
2.Third World , Fast Colors , Red Flame.
3.Royal Mirchi , Zabdiel , Fathers Glory.
.4.Pat on the Back , Priceless Legacy , Exclusive Design.
5.Al Jazeera , Worth a Diamond , Swift Sword.
6.Feel My Heart , Custer , Dare u say,Angel of Faith.
7.Ambiens , Cafe Coffee , Royal Assault.
Good day ,
SHYAM
Last race has so many top class jockeys that it is very difficult to pick the Best. So if u need to really bet, then Bet on a Youngster , and incidently the Youngest Horse and Youngest Jockey are both together.
Most of the Races are so very unpredictable that the Roll of Dice methodof Betting may bring some relief in Mysore.These are my picks for the day , and( as usual if any of these turn out to be in the betting as favorites ,do give them a Skip )Not worth betting on favorites in Mysore.1.Divine Force , Courtier , Adventurous World.2.Third World , Fast Colors , Red Flame.3.Royal Mirchi , Zabdiel , Fathers Glory.4.Pat on the Back , Priceless Legacy , Exlucive Design.5.Al Jazeera , Worth a Diamond , Swift Sword.6.Feel My Heart , Custer , Dare u say,Angel of Faith.7.Ambiens , Cafe Coffee , Royal Assault.Good day ,
November 18, 2007
hyderabad ; choices for the day
these are my picks for the hyderabad races.
1.
Bernardo , Sir Creek.
Sprucespringstien has a good monsoon record to go by and has also competed in the classics but a WIN at this handicap seems a bit doubtful.Not that it cant WIN , just a feeling that it is difficult.
Sir Creek could end up as a decent each way bet.
2.
All 13 in with a chance ( however small ) to score.BEAT HOLLOW and Olympic Kingdom stand tall based on their blood lines.A small chance on CANNON view for place.
3.
Fire Wings might relish the distance and a EACH way BET is ON.First Warrior and Regal Image can follow.
4.
PANCHO Pete , Big Budget and Pocket Dynamite are the contenders and safe not to look beyond these THREE for WIN.
5.
Zindabad , Shanurama ( on handicap ) , Australis .Open race.
6.Bad Race from betting point of view.
Mirbat Battle , Cannon Target, World Vision.Suryarath is capable of upset.
7.
Indian Archer , Amontillado & Anguna ,
Page Three might not even place and do avoid a Winning bet on the Horse.
Good day,
SHYAM
1.
Bernardo , Sir Creek.
Sprucespringstien has a good monsoon record to go by and has also competed in the classics but a WIN at this handicap seems a bit doubtful.Not that it cant WIN , just a feeling that it is difficult.
Sir Creek could end up as a decent each way bet.
2.
All 13 in with a chance ( however small ) to score.BEAT HOLLOW and Olympic Kingdom stand tall based on their blood lines.A small chance on CANNON view for place.
3.
Fire Wings might relish the distance and a EACH way BET is ON.First Warrior and Regal Image can follow.
4.
PANCHO Pete , Big Budget and Pocket Dynamite are the contenders and safe not to look beyond these THREE for WIN.
5.
Zindabad , Shanurama ( on handicap ) , Australis .Open race.
6.Bad Race from betting point of view.
Mirbat Battle , Cannon Target, World Vision.Suryarath is capable of upset.
7.
Indian Archer , Amontillado & Anguna ,
Page Three might not even place and do avoid a Winning bet on the Horse.
Good day,
SHYAM
November 17, 2007
First day Mumbai races
Hi all ,
First day of the racing season and the small card of 7 races shouldgo as per form and class for most of the events.Also with limitedrunners in the fray the scope for some long shots winning seem remote except for the races framed for the youngsters.These are my choices ;
1.Hot Stepper 2. Astraea 3. Avec Plaisir
The First named is very impressive and regular in tracks and should WIN this 7 furlong race.The colt was unlucky last time and that was mainly on account of the top handicap .Having run some game races earlier should be able to put across the other contenders.
Astraea has nothing wrong till date and should be involved in the finish.AvecPlaisir has also competed with these two horses earlier and is theonly threat.
2.OASIS Star : Clear Winner
.Regal Reform can follow the WINNER , though this Horse has lost to Aquadisiac over 1800 metres in their previous meeting.
3.Oyster Princess , Sharp Memory , Siroco.
Recollection has beaten very poor set of Horses and CAN at best PLACE
Oyster Princess has been running with top notch Horses and can strike if the Jockey is upto the task
4.YANA , Red Indian ( Jockey is a Issue but worth a Risk ) Raquel,Arkhos.
Seems to be quite open race but YANA on the basis of Pedigree and the manner of Victory in its last outing should be able to tackle this bunc with ease
ARKHOS is a very well bred horse and is capable of sprining asurprise as it has WON inspite of being handled by a work out Jockey h.g.Rathod.
5.RIYASAT AND SUCESSOR are being discussed in racing forums for thetrack work and extreme confidence shown in the horse by the ownersand trainers.Being a race for youngsters over 5 furlongs ONLY the scope for errors and very limited and if these Horses take a leve ljump it would be very difficult for the rest to catch up.
Aurora Aurealis and Kiara should be considered for the impressive bloodline credentials.
6.the Hurricane , Alvarita , Desert Conqueror.The queen filly ALvarita is making an appearance after a long layoffand hence a WIN bet is avoidable.Hurricane's last WIN was very very impressive inspite of the heavy outpost.Should WIN.
7.VB race on the First race day and 3 year old Filly @ top weightlooks a bit doubtful.Bueno Aires can provide a double for the Rattonsey's .Lovely Feelings and Jazzego can place
.Good day and happy punting.
Likely Winners :
Hot Stepper / Oasis Star / YANA / Sucessor /Hurricane/ Bueno Aires
Place hopefuls : Regal Reform / Oyster Princess / Raquel / Kiara /Lovely Feelings.
Good luck for the First day,
Shyam
First day of the racing season and the small card of 7 races shouldgo as per form and class for most of the events.Also with limitedrunners in the fray the scope for some long shots winning seem remote except for the races framed for the youngsters.These are my choices ;
1.Hot Stepper 2. Astraea 3. Avec Plaisir
The First named is very impressive and regular in tracks and should WIN this 7 furlong race.The colt was unlucky last time and that was mainly on account of the top handicap .Having run some game races earlier should be able to put across the other contenders.
Astraea has nothing wrong till date and should be involved in the finish.AvecPlaisir has also competed with these two horses earlier and is theonly threat.
2.OASIS Star : Clear Winner
.Regal Reform can follow the WINNER , though this Horse has lost to Aquadisiac over 1800 metres in their previous meeting.
3.Oyster Princess , Sharp Memory , Siroco.
Recollection has beaten very poor set of Horses and CAN at best PLACE
Oyster Princess has been running with top notch Horses and can strike if the Jockey is upto the task
4.YANA , Red Indian ( Jockey is a Issue but worth a Risk ) Raquel,Arkhos.
Seems to be quite open race but YANA on the basis of Pedigree and the manner of Victory in its last outing should be able to tackle this bunc with ease
ARKHOS is a very well bred horse and is capable of sprining asurprise as it has WON inspite of being handled by a work out Jockey h.g.Rathod.
5.RIYASAT AND SUCESSOR are being discussed in racing forums for thetrack work and extreme confidence shown in the horse by the ownersand trainers.Being a race for youngsters over 5 furlongs ONLY the scope for errors and very limited and if these Horses take a leve ljump it would be very difficult for the rest to catch up.
Aurora Aurealis and Kiara should be considered for the impressive bloodline credentials.
6.the Hurricane , Alvarita , Desert Conqueror.The queen filly ALvarita is making an appearance after a long layoffand hence a WIN bet is avoidable.Hurricane's last WIN was very very impressive inspite of the heavy outpost.Should WIN.
7.VB race on the First race day and 3 year old Filly @ top weightlooks a bit doubtful.Bueno Aires can provide a double for the Rattonsey's .Lovely Feelings and Jazzego can place
.Good day and happy punting.
Likely Winners :
Hot Stepper / Oasis Star / YANA / Sucessor /Hurricane/ Bueno Aires
Place hopefuls : Regal Reform / Oyster Princess / Raquel / Kiara /Lovely Feelings.
Good luck for the First day,
Shyam
November 16, 2007
Saturday Bangalore Races
Hi all,
Initial thoughts :Bookies day out , with 5 races framed in class IV and V.
Many non performers in the field which means most races could see unfancied winners.
These are my choices.
1.Queen of Speed , Classic Movements ,King of Good times ( upset Land of Smiles)
Aglitter as a Favorite does not impress , inspite of the good bloodline.
2.Youngsters race ; as always Most runners have a decent chance to score.My bets would be restricted to these three depending on the odds offered.
Freedom Fighter , Monarchial and Fly for sure.
Music on demand has the services of a good jockey and excellent pedigree and may WIN but does not impress me .
3.Casino Royal , Shisham , Don Cherry.
SHISHAM and Casino Royal seem to be evenly matched.
4.Kemrock , Amazing Flora and Couelle.
Stanza Starry was blatantly hooked last time and might have to wait for a long time to come into the reckoning.
5.Wile Wench , Bee for you and Seize the Night.
Rapido Gonzalves has negative equipment change and hence avoidable.
6.Suave , Rio Bravo and Snob Value.
Zanzara might be fancied but coming into the races after skipping Mysore season and hence not considered.
7.Alandra , Lion heart.
The classic contenders are best avoided .The odds on southern charge does not merit a POSITIVE BET. .
8.Andronicus , Touch me Honey , Bliss.
Purely on the Jockey Merit , Andronicus should WIN with authority.
9.Splendid Glory ,Faction Leader , Amazing Forest
Punters who fancy favorites might have a tough time as i dont expect more than 2 FAVORITES to come through in the long card of 9 events.
Bets which can be considered for WIN : Casino Royal , Wile Wench , Andronicus , Queen of Speed
for place : Classic Movements , Monarchial , Suave , Bliss
Each way : Freedom Fighter , Amazing Flora , Amazing Forest.
Avoidable bets : Aglitter , Music on Demand , Stanza Starry , Zanzara , Artic Blast.
Good luck
SHYAM
Good luck ,
Initial thoughts :Bookies day out , with 5 races framed in class IV and V.
Many non performers in the field which means most races could see unfancied winners.
These are my choices.
1.Queen of Speed , Classic Movements ,King of Good times ( upset Land of Smiles)
Aglitter as a Favorite does not impress , inspite of the good bloodline.
2.Youngsters race ; as always Most runners have a decent chance to score.My bets would be restricted to these three depending on the odds offered.
Freedom Fighter , Monarchial and Fly for sure.
Music on demand has the services of a good jockey and excellent pedigree and may WIN but does not impress me .
3.Casino Royal , Shisham , Don Cherry.
SHISHAM and Casino Royal seem to be evenly matched.
4.Kemrock , Amazing Flora and Couelle.
Stanza Starry was blatantly hooked last time and might have to wait for a long time to come into the reckoning.
5.Wile Wench , Bee for you and Seize the Night.
Rapido Gonzalves has negative equipment change and hence avoidable.
6.Suave , Rio Bravo and Snob Value.
Zanzara might be fancied but coming into the races after skipping Mysore season and hence not considered.
7.Alandra , Lion heart.
The classic contenders are best avoided .The odds on southern charge does not merit a POSITIVE BET. .
8.Andronicus , Touch me Honey , Bliss.
Purely on the Jockey Merit , Andronicus should WIN with authority.
9.Splendid Glory ,Faction Leader , Amazing Forest
Punters who fancy favorites might have a tough time as i dont expect more than 2 FAVORITES to come through in the long card of 9 events.
Bets which can be considered for WIN : Casino Royal , Wile Wench , Andronicus , Queen of Speed
for place : Classic Movements , Monarchial , Suave , Bliss
Each way : Freedom Fighter , Amazing Flora , Amazing Forest.
Avoidable bets : Aglitter , Music on Demand , Stanza Starry , Zanzara , Artic Blast.
Good luck
SHYAM
Good luck ,
November 13, 2007
Chance bets for Mysore
These races are conducted for Horses stationed in Mysore and hence one cant go by racing merit as invariably long shots dominate throughout the season.Last minute deals in Mysore decide the outcome of the races.
Consistency is not to be expected and hence the Choices are mentioned without detailed explanation.In case any of these turn out to be TOTE favorites , ignore the choice and back the next best.
1.Classic Armour , Island Pearl and Peakaboo.
2.Fit for Fray , San Siro and Bold Promis.
3.Bossy Boss , Priceless Legacy , Get Gorgeous.
4.Ariba , Action Zone and Worth a Gold.
5.Angel of Faith , Mint Royal , Collateral.
6.Dangerous Illusion , Dare Don ,Time to Celebrate.
7.Penny Tweedy ,Code of Law , Royal Hawk.
8.Executive Spirit , Appolo Storm , Time is Precious
good luck
SHYAM
Consistency is not to be expected and hence the Choices are mentioned without detailed explanation.In case any of these turn out to be TOTE favorites , ignore the choice and back the next best.
1.Classic Armour , Island Pearl and Peakaboo.
2.Fit for Fray , San Siro and Bold Promis.
3.Bossy Boss , Priceless Legacy , Get Gorgeous.
4.Ariba , Action Zone and Worth a Gold.
5.Angel of Faith , Mint Royal , Collateral.
6.Dangerous Illusion , Dare Don ,Time to Celebrate.
7.Penny Tweedy ,Code of Law , Royal Hawk.
8.Executive Spirit , Appolo Storm , Time is Precious
good luck
SHYAM
November 11, 2007
Monday race choices
Hi all ,These are my choices for the day .
1.Orochi 2.Muscat Ranger.
Orochi has been in the waiting list for long and if the Horse after itsrun in the classic does not finish ahead of the other 4 tomorrow , might not see the Winning post for a long time.
Sir Onslaught looks difficult on handicap though it can come into the reckoning if the others tire out.
Muscat Ranger should be prefered over Portpatrick
2.As always the YOUNGSTERS event will be an OPEN race
Dash on Regardless , Global Emperor and Lady Patrica are the Ones which i prefer ( not in any order as such )
CABOCHON could end up as the favorite.Not ruling out its chances as most of Her siblings have done well in Mumbai.
Power Play may place ahead of Amasing act.
3.Classic Cruise and Rudolph Valentino seem to be evenly matched.Though RV would ideally do well over 1400,cant rule out a good run in this race, as there is regular track work and change of equipment. Most of the others are there for an airing.
4.BAD race.
Ripples, Chalukya and Rubinella are the ones capable of WINNING.
5.Jet Express , Bundle of Roses and Flash Flares . Close contest expected.
6.Bad Race.
Fever Few and The BEE will PLACE. unable to identify the Third Horse.
7.Hot Seat , Bentota and Madho.It would be advisable to avoid Ujjaini in this race.
Watch out for these Trainers : Prasad , N Rao and Srinivas
Good luck
SHYAM
1.Orochi 2.Muscat Ranger.
Orochi has been in the waiting list for long and if the Horse after itsrun in the classic does not finish ahead of the other 4 tomorrow , might not see the Winning post for a long time.
Sir Onslaught looks difficult on handicap though it can come into the reckoning if the others tire out.
Muscat Ranger should be prefered over Portpatrick
2.As always the YOUNGSTERS event will be an OPEN race
Dash on Regardless , Global Emperor and Lady Patrica are the Ones which i prefer ( not in any order as such )
CABOCHON could end up as the favorite.Not ruling out its chances as most of Her siblings have done well in Mumbai.
Power Play may place ahead of Amasing act.
3.Classic Cruise and Rudolph Valentino seem to be evenly matched.Though RV would ideally do well over 1400,cant rule out a good run in this race, as there is regular track work and change of equipment. Most of the others are there for an airing.
4.BAD race.
Ripples, Chalukya and Rubinella are the ones capable of WINNING.
5.Jet Express , Bundle of Roses and Flash Flares . Close contest expected.
6.Bad Race.
Fever Few and The BEE will PLACE. unable to identify the Third Horse.
7.Hot Seat , Bentota and Madho.It would be advisable to avoid Ujjaini in this race.
Watch out for these Trainers : Prasad , N Rao and Srinivas
Good luck
SHYAM
Hi all ,
These are my choices for the day.
1.One In all 2 .Global Presence.
Global presence is a short priced bet on account of the imposing record.However the run over a sprint is a bit surprising as the Horse has been campaigned over longer distances earlier.Entry could be on account of the lucrative stake money offered.
Har Har Priya is without services of competent regular Jockey and hence avoidable.Dream Counsel and True Value will be in the also ran category.
That leaves us with One in All , a consistent performer in the monsoon season.The negative equipment is to be considered but at this handicap looks the only threat to Global and hence a each bet is ON.
1.Copertina 2. Stroke of Luck 3. Dorabella.
My Comment as always is ANYONE can WIN in the race for the youngsters.
Vijay Mallya colors are seen in Hyderabad tracks after a long time and MAM stable rider is doing duty.The dam has some winners in the form of Carabinerri and Code of Law.
Stroke of Luck is Tracking well and could upset.
Dorabella : Purely to be considered on account of the Pedigree and Jockey.
Rafaat has 3 runners and only he would know which of the Three will be in the betting.I would go with a each way bet on Shakin Stevens .
Opulence and Gold Mint might not relish the distance.Silver Bullet is capable of springing a surprise at this handicap.
1.Zagreb 2.Zarshuk 3.Pretty Fit.
Bad race .
1.Air bender 2.Favorable Terms 3. Track rule.
Again bad race.
1.Vijayraaj 2. Glare 3.Citi Storm 4. Kings Fortune.
Vijayraaj should be able to ward off the other challengers.Auxiliary might be fancied but the distance seems a bit sharp.Can WIN but avoidable.Glare and Kings Fortune could place at longer odds.Citi Stormaafter change in stables can place.
Base Line is long overdue for a WIN.
Good books and Royal Assembly should fill the frame.
GOOD LUCK
These are my choices for the day.
1.One In all 2 .Global Presence.
Global presence is a short priced bet on account of the imposing record.However the run over a sprint is a bit surprising as the Horse has been campaigned over longer distances earlier.Entry could be on account of the lucrative stake money offered.
Har Har Priya is without services of competent regular Jockey and hence avoidable.Dream Counsel and True Value will be in the also ran category.
That leaves us with One in All , a consistent performer in the monsoon season.The negative equipment is to be considered but at this handicap looks the only threat to Global and hence a each bet is ON.
1.Copertina 2. Stroke of Luck 3. Dorabella.
My Comment as always is ANYONE can WIN in the race for the youngsters.
Vijay Mallya colors are seen in Hyderabad tracks after a long time and MAM stable rider is doing duty.The dam has some winners in the form of Carabinerri and Code of Law.
Stroke of Luck is Tracking well and could upset.
Dorabella : Purely to be considered on account of the Pedigree and Jockey.
Rafaat has 3 runners and only he would know which of the Three will be in the betting.I would go with a each way bet on Shakin Stevens .
Opulence and Gold Mint might not relish the distance.Silver Bullet is capable of springing a surprise at this handicap.
1.Zagreb 2.Zarshuk 3.Pretty Fit.
Bad race .
1.Air bender 2.Favorable Terms 3. Track rule.
Again bad race.
1.Vijayraaj 2. Glare 3.Citi Storm 4. Kings Fortune.
Vijayraaj should be able to ward off the other challengers.Auxiliary might be fancied but the distance seems a bit sharp.Can WIN but avoidable.Glare and Kings Fortune could place at longer odds.Citi Stormaafter change in stables can place.
Base Line is long overdue for a WIN.
Good books and Royal Assembly should fill the frame.
GOOD LUCK
November 9, 2007
A competitive card of 7 events framed for the second day and hopefully Horses with class and form should strike.
First race :
Mystified : Can place , a Win @ this handicap looks doubtful.
Power Punch : Is well bred and has been involved in races with superior Horses, but the change of equipment from ALUMINIUM to Steel is a bit of a bother.If Lightning Blues is fancied and backed by the connexions , this Horse is likely to back off due to confict of intrest.
Candance is tracking well but the choice of jockey is an issue and the Trainer is a bit of a mystery.Als this Horse has run only TWICE in the past ONE year.That itself indicates some setback.MAY WIN / CAN WIN but not worth backing Horses for WIN from this stable.
Firey Business and You and I : both are regular in the work outs and could be in contention for place.
Win Bets are Avoidable in this race.
Second Race : Limited choices
.
South Paradise is the Only WINNER ,however No track since previous run on 29/07/2007.Very strange.
Movie Queen : is in with a good chance due to the limited opposition.However if it is backed down as favorite better to avoid.
SHENANDOAH : One could get to see the Colors of Vijay Mallya after a Long hiatus.But the Victory if acheived will be on account of the very very poor opposition and not on account of the efforts of the Stable / Trainer.The Sire Brave Act is also not very sucessful.
Some support could come in for the Two Horses Owned by the Yespee Racing Syndicate.Chisty is the Declared rider for this syndicate ( irrespective of the trainers : Puttana / Lokanath / Ponappa / Dhariwal ) and hence True Confidence could be considered for Place though the Track Work since last run on 28/07 is not available.
Place Bets on Movie Queen and True Confidence if it is above EVEN.Win on SHENANDOAH only if it is above EVEN.
Third Race :
Spirit of China - Jockey Suraj Narredu had a good blank record on Friday and could erase the memory with a WIN astride this Horse which is well bread and tracking well.
Double Elite and Manthara have been consistent but based on handicap , Manthara seems a decent place bet.
Southern Chieftan : Poor record till date .But has the class to Win with ease. Should place.
Astounding Blue : Was fancied ahead of Southern Chieftan when they had clashed earlier in bangalore.Enrusted to a Jockey who is capable of bettering the performance.CAN UPSET.
Bets : Spirit of China Win Astounding Blue Place
( a small bet on shp for both Horses )
Fourth Race :
Upper Crust is carrying high expectations and should not dissapoint.
Aura and Diamond hunter can the only Horses which can threaten the Winner.
@ Even money or less : upper Crust is avoidable bet. Can take a each way chance on any of the other Two horses mentioned above.
Fifth race :
Ocean Crest – With Jockey Chisty carrying 59 kgs , the Horse is unlikely to succeed .
Soberano and My Friend Paul are better betting propositions for EACH way.
Serious Warrior can place though it is a Promotee.
Most of the others in the fray can be ignored for absence of Jockey merit.
Sixth Race :
Dancing Highness – was thought off highly after Winning 2 consequetive races but lost meekly in the last outing.Capacity to run 8 furlongs with Appu astride and at 58 kgs is suspect. Avoidable bet.
Wonder Smile : After gifting races to favorable stables the Horse picked up a race at the close of the summer season.This got abroad filly's potential is untested and can WIN subject to the willingness of the Jockey.
Our Little Savage : Good horse , however consistency is not maintained by the stable particularly when MAM horses are also in the fray. Decision to back the horse would depend on the ring prices.
Romantic Scene :
Was asked to do to much in the previous outing .Earlier had beaten Local Warrior from a friendly stable which subsequently went on to WIN 2 races . Negative is the STEEL SHOES , as the Horse has done well running with Aluminium shoes only. Trainer is already under a cloud and until the final decision is taken on the matter , might like to lay low. AVOIDABLE BET even for place.
ARABIAN Knight :
Won with a measure of comfort but the opposition was nothing great.has a good chance based on Handicap.Dhairwal has at least a few winners to his credit and with a talented Jockey astride can hopefully prevail.
Bets : Arabian Knight Each way. Our Little Savage place ( if Wonder smile odds are negative )
Last Race : ENFORCER has been knocking at the doors for a long time.Running in a handicap race for the First time and hence WINNING seems a bit doubtful.
Dock of Bay : another inconsistent horse from the notorious stable.If lucrative odds are offered will be in action.
Indian Swift : Tracking well and the handicap might enable the Horse to score.
Bets : Each way on Indian Swift and a small place chance on Char Chand.
Win Kainchi : Shenandoah – Spirit of china – Upper Crust – My Friend Paul.
Place Kainchi : Lightnin Blues – true Confidence – Astounding Blue – Soberano.
Good Luck ,
SHYAM
PS : Bourbon King Winning Video is available here for viewing.
First race :
Mystified : Can place , a Win @ this handicap looks doubtful.
Power Punch : Is well bred and has been involved in races with superior Horses, but the change of equipment from ALUMINIUM to Steel is a bit of a bother.If Lightning Blues is fancied and backed by the connexions , this Horse is likely to back off due to confict of intrest.
Candance is tracking well but the choice of jockey is an issue and the Trainer is a bit of a mystery.Als this Horse has run only TWICE in the past ONE year.That itself indicates some setback.MAY WIN / CAN WIN but not worth backing Horses for WIN from this stable.
Firey Business and You and I : both are regular in the work outs and could be in contention for place.
Win Bets are Avoidable in this race.
Second Race : Limited choices
.
South Paradise is the Only WINNER ,however No track since previous run on 29/07/2007.Very strange.
Movie Queen : is in with a good chance due to the limited opposition.However if it is backed down as favorite better to avoid.
SHENANDOAH : One could get to see the Colors of Vijay Mallya after a Long hiatus.But the Victory if acheived will be on account of the very very poor opposition and not on account of the efforts of the Stable / Trainer.The Sire Brave Act is also not very sucessful.
Some support could come in for the Two Horses Owned by the Yespee Racing Syndicate.Chisty is the Declared rider for this syndicate ( irrespective of the trainers : Puttana / Lokanath / Ponappa / Dhariwal ) and hence True Confidence could be considered for Place though the Track Work since last run on 28/07 is not available.
Place Bets on Movie Queen and True Confidence if it is above EVEN.Win on SHENANDOAH only if it is above EVEN.
Third Race :
Spirit of China - Jockey Suraj Narredu had a good blank record on Friday and could erase the memory with a WIN astride this Horse which is well bread and tracking well.
Double Elite and Manthara have been consistent but based on handicap , Manthara seems a decent place bet.
Southern Chieftan : Poor record till date .But has the class to Win with ease. Should place.
Astounding Blue : Was fancied ahead of Southern Chieftan when they had clashed earlier in bangalore.Enrusted to a Jockey who is capable of bettering the performance.CAN UPSET.
Bets : Spirit of China Win Astounding Blue Place
( a small bet on shp for both Horses )
Fourth Race :
Upper Crust is carrying high expectations and should not dissapoint.
Aura and Diamond hunter can the only Horses which can threaten the Winner.
@ Even money or less : upper Crust is avoidable bet. Can take a each way chance on any of the other Two horses mentioned above.
Fifth race :
Ocean Crest – With Jockey Chisty carrying 59 kgs , the Horse is unlikely to succeed .
Soberano and My Friend Paul are better betting propositions for EACH way.
Serious Warrior can place though it is a Promotee.
Most of the others in the fray can be ignored for absence of Jockey merit.
Sixth Race :
Dancing Highness – was thought off highly after Winning 2 consequetive races but lost meekly in the last outing.Capacity to run 8 furlongs with Appu astride and at 58 kgs is suspect. Avoidable bet.
Wonder Smile : After gifting races to favorable stables the Horse picked up a race at the close of the summer season.This got abroad filly's potential is untested and can WIN subject to the willingness of the Jockey.
Our Little Savage : Good horse , however consistency is not maintained by the stable particularly when MAM horses are also in the fray. Decision to back the horse would depend on the ring prices.
Romantic Scene :
Was asked to do to much in the previous outing .Earlier had beaten Local Warrior from a friendly stable which subsequently went on to WIN 2 races . Negative is the STEEL SHOES , as the Horse has done well running with Aluminium shoes only. Trainer is already under a cloud and until the final decision is taken on the matter , might like to lay low. AVOIDABLE BET even for place.
ARABIAN Knight :
Won with a measure of comfort but the opposition was nothing great.has a good chance based on Handicap.Dhairwal has at least a few winners to his credit and with a talented Jockey astride can hopefully prevail.
Bets : Arabian Knight Each way. Our Little Savage place ( if Wonder smile odds are negative )
Last Race : ENFORCER has been knocking at the doors for a long time.Running in a handicap race for the First time and hence WINNING seems a bit doubtful.
Dock of Bay : another inconsistent horse from the notorious stable.If lucrative odds are offered will be in action.
Indian Swift : Tracking well and the handicap might enable the Horse to score.
Bets : Each way on Indian Swift and a small place chance on Char Chand.
Win Kainchi : Shenandoah – Spirit of china – Upper Crust – My Friend Paul.
Place Kainchi : Lightnin Blues – true Confidence – Astounding Blue – Soberano.
Good Luck ,
SHYAM
PS : Bourbon King Winning Video is available here for viewing.
November 8, 2007
First Day : Betting Options
Hi all ,
The Winter seasons starts off as a very low key affair with very few participants being seen on the first day.Bangalore races are very competitive and it is difficult to predict the outcome of the races in advance as most races are keenly fought or easily gifted .The indications are usually available only during race time
( depending on the drift in the odds and other factors)
As always it is advisable to avoid playing any Horses which offer less than EVEN money odds as the chances of those Horses Losing the seem to be on the higher side.It is not that Favorites Lose but the On Money Favorites Winning is not very often seen in the Winter Season particularly in Handicap races.The Classic races and Class I races though do not see many upsets.With a lot of youngsters in the fray this season , it makes betting all the more uncertain.It would pay to follow the following trainers ;
J.S.Dhariwal and Micheal Easwar ( at odds of 5 to 1 and above only )
Samar Singh , Ponappa , R.R.Byramji ( well backed Horses )
along with the Ganapathy's.
There are a lot of expectations from Padmanabhan and Irfan Ghatala but i get the feeling that they would not be as sucessful as the above mentioned trainers are.
Before i start with my views on the opening day races , I wish all of You a very sucessful season ahead.
1 st race : Selections from major newspapers , race books and web sites , point to just Three horses which i feel are based more on the Jockey merit.Not that the Three horses prefered are bad BUT most races meant for youngsters throw up surprises and It would be a good idea to restrict bets in these races.Coming to race itself ,
Iam not impressed by the few trackworks of Thumping Victory and it looks difficult for place also.Different Opinion has some decent work outs and and has a pretty decent chance to score .
Poetic is well bred but Winning chances are looking DIM .
Samar Singh has Two Mounts and I expect One of them to be in the reckoning based on recent track work.Would go with the Horse ridden by Paswan.
Exclusive Grey and Chinab are not likely to be fancied since the Jockeys are not the First choice of the Owner/Stables but track work is impressive and one could consider them for place at Longer ODDS.
2nd race :
Free Glider , Zangi and Briannsta : Iam not looking at Neil Darashah's Horses as both of them had performed miseraby in Mysore.Of the Two , Royal Retort has a small chance to place.Star Blue has no track after the bangalore season and hence ignored.For certain obvious reasons Oro Neiro is not likely to be in the limelight.
3 rd Race :
Pret a Porte , Appolo Crown , Life's Laughter.
The Force , Master Yoda and Kodava Fire are woefully out of form and depth and can be ignored.Star of Excellence is a very moody and unpredictable Horse and it can only place by default if one of the above three are unable to make it.Cascabel might need a run to prove its credentials .
4 th race :
Mam's Smart chieftan , Mystical and Southern Empire have all WON a handicap race in bangalore prior attaining sucess in the Mumbai classics.
Bourbon King the multi classsic Winner is facing some good but older opponents , who are otherwise very fit and competent.Should WIN with ease.
Hesperus is capable of leading the charge against the King.
I would take a chance and eat the favorite if it is at around 35 paisa.It is suicidical and I might lose eventually but worth a negative bet at these odds.
5 th race :
Fantabulous Prince and Feel Free , are my choices as Asiaticus does not impress me due to inconsistency and lack of recent race record.The positive change on Fantabulous Prince does indicate the willingness to strike but VIVEK is usually opted for horses with low handicap and iam not very confident of the chances though the Horse is well merited.
Feel free should be in the Money if FREE GLIDER comes good in the 2 nd race.
RED Mustang has run with better quality opposition, but the abscence of a race gallop is a cause for concern.
Chief's Dream has come down on handicap and has a good chance.
6 th race :
ALCHESAYE should WIN this race , though the choice of the jockey is a worrisome factor.The horse needs very strong saddle assistance.
LGS has negative change in the Shoes and hence should be ignored.
Proud of a peacock was a failed gamble in summer and should place by default as 4 of MAM horses and Mister Trooper have lost all chances for even place due to jockey selection.
Hope all of you have a good start to the season.
PLACE KAINCHI : Take your pick among Zangi , Red Mustang , Proud as a Peacock , Little Splendour and Appolo Crown.
The Winter seasons starts off as a very low key affair with very few participants being seen on the first day.Bangalore races are very competitive and it is difficult to predict the outcome of the races in advance as most races are keenly fought or easily gifted .The indications are usually available only during race time
( depending on the drift in the odds and other factors)
As always it is advisable to avoid playing any Horses which offer less than EVEN money odds as the chances of those Horses Losing the seem to be on the higher side.It is not that Favorites Lose but the On Money Favorites Winning is not very often seen in the Winter Season particularly in Handicap races.The Classic races and Class I races though do not see many upsets.With a lot of youngsters in the fray this season , it makes betting all the more uncertain.It would pay to follow the following trainers ;
J.S.Dhariwal and Micheal Easwar ( at odds of 5 to 1 and above only )
Samar Singh , Ponappa , R.R.Byramji ( well backed Horses )
along with the Ganapathy's.
There are a lot of expectations from Padmanabhan and Irfan Ghatala but i get the feeling that they would not be as sucessful as the above mentioned trainers are.
Before i start with my views on the opening day races , I wish all of You a very sucessful season ahead.
1 st race : Selections from major newspapers , race books and web sites , point to just Three horses which i feel are based more on the Jockey merit.Not that the Three horses prefered are bad BUT most races meant for youngsters throw up surprises and It would be a good idea to restrict bets in these races.Coming to race itself ,
Iam not impressed by the few trackworks of Thumping Victory and it looks difficult for place also.Different Opinion has some decent work outs and and has a pretty decent chance to score .
Poetic is well bred but Winning chances are looking DIM .
Samar Singh has Two Mounts and I expect One of them to be in the reckoning based on recent track work.Would go with the Horse ridden by Paswan.
Exclusive Grey and Chinab are not likely to be fancied since the Jockeys are not the First choice of the Owner/Stables but track work is impressive and one could consider them for place at Longer ODDS.
2nd race :
Free Glider , Zangi and Briannsta : Iam not looking at Neil Darashah's Horses as both of them had performed miseraby in Mysore.Of the Two , Royal Retort has a small chance to place.Star Blue has no track after the bangalore season and hence ignored.For certain obvious reasons Oro Neiro is not likely to be in the limelight.
3 rd Race :
Pret a Porte , Appolo Crown , Life's Laughter.
The Force , Master Yoda and Kodava Fire are woefully out of form and depth and can be ignored.Star of Excellence is a very moody and unpredictable Horse and it can only place by default if one of the above three are unable to make it.Cascabel might need a run to prove its credentials .
4 th race :
Mam's Smart chieftan , Mystical and Southern Empire have all WON a handicap race in bangalore prior attaining sucess in the Mumbai classics.
Bourbon King the multi classsic Winner is facing some good but older opponents , who are otherwise very fit and competent.Should WIN with ease.
Hesperus is capable of leading the charge against the King.
I would take a chance and eat the favorite if it is at around 35 paisa.It is suicidical and I might lose eventually but worth a negative bet at these odds.
5 th race :
Fantabulous Prince and Feel Free , are my choices as Asiaticus does not impress me due to inconsistency and lack of recent race record.The positive change on Fantabulous Prince does indicate the willingness to strike but VIVEK is usually opted for horses with low handicap and iam not very confident of the chances though the Horse is well merited.
Feel free should be in the Money if FREE GLIDER comes good in the 2 nd race.
RED Mustang has run with better quality opposition, but the abscence of a race gallop is a cause for concern.
Chief's Dream has come down on handicap and has a good chance.
6 th race :
ALCHESAYE should WIN this race , though the choice of the jockey is a worrisome factor.The horse needs very strong saddle assistance.
LGS has negative change in the Shoes and hence should be ignored.
Proud of a peacock was a failed gamble in summer and should place by default as 4 of MAM horses and Mister Trooper have lost all chances for even place due to jockey selection.
Hope all of you have a good start to the season.
PLACE KAINCHI : Take your pick among Zangi , Red Mustang , Proud as a Peacock , Little Splendour and Appolo Crown.
November 5, 2007
fresh look needed at horse racing as a sport
This appeared in the Bangalore edition of the indian express , newspaper.Not sure if the other editions carried the news item.So for the benifit of all , being put up here.
The Supreme Court has deemed Horse racing to be a sport. Possibly, as a fresh and long winter season begins the time has come for a fresh look at it. If the goings on at the racetracks is any indication, even if it is a sport, now it has a thick dubious sporting Coat.
The gullible and unsuspecting public is being taken for a huge ride by most sections of those involved in its conduct.
The most glaring example is the suspension of trainer darius byramji for one year for the running of his charge echoes of light at the mysore races. The jockey C.Alford too has been hauled over the coals for not permitting the horse to run on its merits. bold reply trained by Darius’s father Rashid Byramji won the event. Both the horses are owned by D.Khaitan.
Merits ?? Did splendid surprise win the mysore derby on Thursday on it merits? .The answer is a a emphatic No.For it surely won on the riding inadequacies oj the jockeys astride other contenders.Star Team was given a horrendous ride by jockey Prakash.He never settled the horse properly in position all through the 2000 metres trip.That he preferred to race five mtrs wide for the best part had defeat written all over.Appu , astride Royal Ambassador came onto Star team at the bend and sent him even more wider on the inside.Was Appu a track Police for he had ridden Splendid Surprise earlier in the season ?
Upfront another drama ws just over.Confident Victory , with the unaccomplished D.Patel up , set a fast pace and appeared all set to land the spoils but the Jockey doing everything right till then , was found wanting as the horse drifted out alarmingly thereby allowing Splendid Surprise to go and stay ahead.the drift momentarily affected Star Team as Prakash chose to cut in and lost ground despite which the horse could have Won had the rider so desired.
Star Team produced a stunning gallop in the final stages and looked all set when the rider decided to apply the brakes , whip the horse but hold it and noot push it forward.That ensures that the Horse remains where it is while the front runners gains time and space.
The odds on Star team drifted out and closed at nearly 4 to 1 by race time and that perhaps best explains why Prakash did all that he did .Then again Confident Victory had finished last when ridden by the more accomplished Y S Srinath in its last run here.How did it sprout a pair of wings with Patel up ? What ever happened to merit ? this time Srinath rode the Hyderabad Derby winner Sweeping Success but only managed to finish fifth. Is the class and quality of Horses in Hyderabad so poor ?
When the son’s Horse is the favorite the father strikes.When the Father’s Horse is fancies the son Wins.This has happened very frequently.Most often out of turn.Only the father and trainer combinations of Rashid Byramji – Darius , Madhu Mangalorkar – Arjun , Zareer Darashah – Neil , Ganapathy – Karthik and Samar Singh – Rakesh could tell you how and why of this disgusting phenomenon.
If that’s not enough the lesser fancied of a trainer or owner’s two of three runners in a race Win or place. The merited and or well backed horse back pedals.Or else the horses with no evident track work keep winning. Ask Hormuz Antia.
The Supreme Court must be presented with Video cassettes of some topsy tury results for a fresh review of Horse racing. The authorities have failed to check recurrence of such events.Their licensing policies remain the same. The Supreme Court uis the only hope for ravaged race goers.
For in any sport a player is helped by his team mates .In racing the opponent provides generous , seemingly unsought help.
The Supreme Court has deemed Horse racing to be a sport. Possibly, as a fresh and long winter season begins the time has come for a fresh look at it. If the goings on at the racetracks is any indication, even if it is a sport, now it has a thick dubious sporting Coat.
The gullible and unsuspecting public is being taken for a huge ride by most sections of those involved in its conduct.
The most glaring example is the suspension of trainer darius byramji for one year for the running of his charge echoes of light at the mysore races. The jockey C.Alford too has been hauled over the coals for not permitting the horse to run on its merits. bold reply trained by Darius’s father Rashid Byramji won the event. Both the horses are owned by D.Khaitan.
Merits ?? Did splendid surprise win the mysore derby on Thursday on it merits? .The answer is a a emphatic No.For it surely won on the riding inadequacies oj the jockeys astride other contenders.Star Team was given a horrendous ride by jockey Prakash.He never settled the horse properly in position all through the 2000 metres trip.That he preferred to race five mtrs wide for the best part had defeat written all over.Appu , astride Royal Ambassador came onto Star team at the bend and sent him even more wider on the inside.Was Appu a track Police for he had ridden Splendid Surprise earlier in the season ?
Upfront another drama ws just over.Confident Victory , with the unaccomplished D.Patel up , set a fast pace and appeared all set to land the spoils but the Jockey doing everything right till then , was found wanting as the horse drifted out alarmingly thereby allowing Splendid Surprise to go and stay ahead.the drift momentarily affected Star Team as Prakash chose to cut in and lost ground despite which the horse could have Won had the rider so desired.
Star Team produced a stunning gallop in the final stages and looked all set when the rider decided to apply the brakes , whip the horse but hold it and noot push it forward.That ensures that the Horse remains where it is while the front runners gains time and space.
The odds on Star team drifted out and closed at nearly 4 to 1 by race time and that perhaps best explains why Prakash did all that he did .Then again Confident Victory had finished last when ridden by the more accomplished Y S Srinath in its last run here.How did it sprout a pair of wings with Patel up ? What ever happened to merit ? this time Srinath rode the Hyderabad Derby winner Sweeping Success but only managed to finish fifth. Is the class and quality of Horses in Hyderabad so poor ?
When the son’s Horse is the favorite the father strikes.When the Father’s Horse is fancies the son Wins.This has happened very frequently.Most often out of turn.Only the father and trainer combinations of Rashid Byramji – Darius , Madhu Mangalorkar – Arjun , Zareer Darashah – Neil , Ganapathy – Karthik and Samar Singh – Rakesh could tell you how and why of this disgusting phenomenon.
If that’s not enough the lesser fancied of a trainer or owner’s two of three runners in a race Win or place. The merited and or well backed horse back pedals.Or else the horses with no evident track work keep winning. Ask Hormuz Antia.
The Supreme Court must be presented with Video cassettes of some topsy tury results for a fresh review of Horse racing. The authorities have failed to check recurrence of such events.Their licensing policies remain the same. The Supreme Court uis the only hope for ravaged race goers.
For in any sport a player is helped by his team mates .In racing the opponent provides generous , seemingly unsought help.
November 4, 2007
Bets for Monday
These are some certainity place bets for the Hyderabad races.The dividend might be negligable / low for place but considering the nature of results in Hyderabad Win bets are a bit of a risk.
A Minimum of 60 % return should be available for most of these Horses for Place bets.
2 nd race : Best in Class
3 rd race : Royal Dignitary
4 th race : Jazz Man
5 th race : Elite Prince
6 th race : Portfolio
7 th race : Bon Fire
Other Place Bets :
1 st race : Onera Onera Onera
2 nd Race : Flying Knight
Win Bets : ( with a small bet on Second Horse Pool , Just to minimise loss in case the Horse loses and comes 2 nd )
Amstel
Indian Archer
Monochrome
Har Har Priya
Indian Dancer
First Warrior
DAYS BEST AMSTEL
A Minimum of 60 % return should be available for most of these Horses for Place bets.
2 nd race : Best in Class
3 rd race : Royal Dignitary
4 th race : Jazz Man
5 th race : Elite Prince
6 th race : Portfolio
7 th race : Bon Fire
Other Place Bets :
1 st race : Onera Onera Onera
2 nd Race : Flying Knight
Win Bets : ( with a small bet on Second Horse Pool , Just to minimise loss in case the Horse loses and comes 2 nd )
Amstel
Indian Archer
Monochrome
Har Har Priya
Indian Dancer
First Warrior
DAYS BEST AMSTEL
Sunday : Hyderabad race selections
First race : meant for the youngsters and based on previous experience it would be foolish to shortlist any horses.All the Horses in the Field have a chance to score.I would go with Come together and Nandavanaa.
Ruby Queen : Fancied by most of the Newspapers and race books.Has the best chance to score as none of the rivals have the class in them to upset.
Runaway Model and Royal Haven: These two horses should be concerned in the finish .Pocket Dynamite is the only Horse that can upset.
Pillatronics and Willow bend : Lady in Style is in with a chance but last Two runs were bad.Man on Fire has a place chance.
Shanaruma and Execute: Both have regular and recent track work.Jugnu looks doubtful.
Coral Gables & Royal View. Coral Gables has been very consistent in class 1 races.Though lng in tooth can handle this set.If Royal View goes on a strt to finsh mission , could upset since the handicap is in favor of the Horse.
Altai and Pancho Pete : Seems a open race.Last race of the day could be tricky.Secret Champ and Peace Talks can be considered for the upset.
Ruby Queen : Fancied by most of the Newspapers and race books.Has the best chance to score as none of the rivals have the class in them to upset.
Runaway Model and Royal Haven: These two horses should be concerned in the finish .Pocket Dynamite is the only Horse that can upset.
Pillatronics and Willow bend : Lady in Style is in with a chance but last Two runs were bad.Man on Fire has a place chance.
Shanaruma and Execute: Both have regular and recent track work.Jugnu looks doubtful.
Coral Gables & Royal View. Coral Gables has been very consistent in class 1 races.Though lng in tooth can handle this set.If Royal View goes on a strt to finsh mission , could upset since the handicap is in favor of the Horse.
Altai and Pancho Pete : Seems a open race.Last race of the day could be tricky.Secret Champ and Peace Talks can be considered for the upset.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)