hi all ,
the Winter season racing action starts this week and racing patrons will be kept busy until March 2012 .
the hyderabad races commences this wednesday and a Competitive race card has been framed for the opening day and lets all hope for the best.The Winter track at Malakpet is quite different from the One used during the Monsoon season and very often the change in tracks affect the performance as a few horses dont relish the abrupt change in surface.A few trainers also try to reduce the ratings in monsoon.
Comments on the contenders and My personal choice as follows. In the absence of genuine odds until One hour prior to race time , it is difficult to suggest confident bets as ODDS may play spoilsport.
1. Beginners plate for 2 year old's - Difficult to take a call based on track works. On bloodlines Snow Bird , Arlington and Sitting Pretty are superior than the rest.
Snow Bird is bred as Scorch is known for its speed and has done well in western india.
Sitting Pretty is sired by Imitiaz , which has not been given many Winners @ blr or mumbai. The Dam has a decent record in Mysore.
Arlington - seems to a good type.
Enamour - is sibling of Indian Epic which has placed in most of its runs at Malakpet.
Snow Bird or Arlington - depending on race time odds for WIN and Place.
2. Carson Troy , Traxana , Nano Angel , True Diamond , Theatre of Dreams may find it difficult to sustain the trip. Shades of Victory , trainer is known for trying only when positive equipment is used. Had the maximum number of entries in Monsoon season , last few race days were completely blank.
Juliet - distance looks sharp , but can still shine as handicap is in favour and is meeting many inexperienced horses.
Sea Runner - last seen finishing on well over 1200 , extended distance and allowance jockey factor can help here.
Miss WaterMellon - the rage in the betting based on its impressive WIN . Point to be factored is that it beat some 3 year old non performers . Bred well and has services of the ace jockey. Will start as onmoney favorite.
Golden Adagio - has not done justice to its pedigree , the advantage in weights may enable a place spot.
Art Connoissuer - trainer is known to keep giving entries very often and over various distances.When punters feel that the it is not performing and ignore the horse , it will perform beyond expectations . Having raced over a mile earlier , distance is not an issue , handicap is attractive , field is not all that impressive , can be the dark horse in the fray.
As MWM is expected to be ONMONEY , i guess there is no point in considering the horse for a definite bet..
3.Ann Arbour , Thirteen Black , Gossip Girl , Cypress Way , Time to Party and Aneres will be out of depth here.
Rohini Star - except for the debut Win the subsequent performances are nothing to write about.,Conceding weight all round. Hence not going to be easy , bloodlines are also not the best.
Dauntless - recent tracks are impressive. Can come from way off the pace as its bred to stay.
Silver Crown - one of the best bred horses in the fray , debut run was not all that good and there is a long absence from the Race track since then. Recent tracks are reasonable .
Wedding Gift - having campaigned over longer distances , the decision to try here is a ?? Yet having regard to the quality of horses in the fray , one cant ignore it as it has seen better horses than any other in the fray.
Wedding Gift - Each way or Silver Crown Place.
4. Star Prospect , All Pepper , Till the Cows come home , Imaam and Standing Ovation are the no hopers.
Rio Grande - last run can be ignored for obvious reasons. Has good credentials at this handicap
Flash of Emerald - having seen all its runs one is inclined to believe that the horse has lost its Winning form.
Indian Epic and True Future , both placed earlier in Crown Castle race. True Future should reverse the position here as the Winter tracks may be suited to its manner of running .
Al Jabal - very very speedy as seen in its last 2 runs. Getting weight from most runners.
True Future - each way seems to be the best option . Next best to consider is Rio Grande.
5.Power Colors , Ruffiano , V Sally , China Pearl , Splendid Show dont really stand a chance due to distance and lack of recent form.
Corvette - not sure what happened after its initial runs. Last few runs were very very bad. May relish winter track.
Cascading Glory - comes from way off the pace , that may help if the front runners tire out.Rider is the retained rider for trainer Prasad Raju. Can hope to place.
Sun Strikes - last outing Winner beating Naughty Girl , which lost out in the betting. Can hope to place here in superior field.
Fine Racer - the name Neeraj Rawal and fair racing does not go together. Must have come down to home town on a holiday , the trainer is known to give rides to all members of the extended Narredu Family.
Kathakali - in and out running , cant rule out its chances .
Crown Castle - a runaway Winner , coming here with a small penalty , is known to hit the front from the start. Can repeat.
Difficult race - Crown Castle or Kathakali can be considered for each way or Place , based on the odds.
6.Chamatkar , Cheetah Hi Jeetha , Winning Strides , Jingles and Hardccore can be ignored due to lack of form and the sharp distance
Chemeli also has been tried over longer distances , yet can shine if the front runners tire out. The only other factor is the jockey .
Mighty Price and Grey Shot carry some good form though it was seen in poor fields.
Deccan Passion - weights are attractive , form is not. Can hope to place at longer odds.
Welcome Baby - each way or place may be the preferred choice.
7.Pedalo comes with huge expectations after its very very impressive debut in terms race. Directly pitchforked into class I .Has any horse ever WON in this manner. Can the advantage in weights be sufficient to beat the seasoned horses in the fray. I feel that this is a very ambitious entry .
Horses 3 to 6 as well as 8 & 9 stand no chance whatsoeverAmong the rest , Crown Crystal and Melody Queen have a good record over this distance .
Nano Storm which is bred as Jabel Queen needs more ground. Choice of rider indicates intent to do well.
Handsome Hawk has Won twice , rider merit post 40 Winners is to be factored.
2 entries from Trainer Laxman Singh , Vijays Dhara has been very very impressive in both its recent Wins. Vijays Rose may find the distance a bit difficult in normal circumstances. With the weights in favour cant rule out its chances.
Golden Palace - has obviously seen better days as its record will show. Last few runs can be ignored as it was seen conceding weight.
Hard Kingdom - jockey Vivek is not known to be a good rider when carrying heavy impost. At 62 kgs and conceding weight to many youngsters in the fray ,its not going to be easy. A genuine class II horse , it comes into contention due to vast experience.
Given a chance best thing is to lay the favorite if ONMONEY , else go for PLACE bets on Melody Queen / Vijays Dhara or each way on Golden Palace.
8.Bound for Glory , Queen of Court , Stadium of Light , Florentine , Cannon jet , Amrapal , Sporting Star. At best one of them can hope to place.
Angelica lost its way in the betting when Vijays Dhara won on Monsoon derby day. Fair chance here.,
Lake King - last 3 runs can be ignored as horse did not seem fit. Meeting relatively inferior field here. Can shine.
Angelica / Lake King - both have WON once and hence get the NOD.
good luck,