November 30, 2021

Mysore choices

 

1. Come Alive.  Ashwa Rajauri.

2. Swiss Bay.  Cappadocia.

3. She's a Beauty. Ochre.

4. Santorini.  Wild Spell.

5. Arak. Chilly Breeze.

6. Rising Sun. Tia Maria.

7. Grand Tenton. Ceffina.

8. Guiding Force. Trust Bond.

9. Daring Prince. Blue Bird The Word.


Big card. Can expect 4-5 upsets. Avoid Short Priced Favorites.

Good day

November 29, 2021

Hyd races

 



15 😕   no opposition

2-2 ❌. 2-4 also last run was very poor.

3-2 can lose. 

4-1 looks good. 

5-1  today doubt. 

6-6 6-9 fight.

 7-8 good chance.


1. Exotic Dancer. Star Cruise.


Most in fray have finished double distance behind Winner in past outings. Thats reason they are in class vb. Junk of the junk.

Horses 3 5 6 7 are probable contenders.  No deep analytical study required to shortlist.  One can easily guess. Low odds on 5 & 3.


2. Monarchos. Angel Tesoro.


Going by current form horses 5 to 12 with exception of 11 have least chance. Even Bloom Buddy a reject from blr falls in same category but rider merit can enable it to do well.

NRI Sun drops down in distance. Does not require talent of Delhi rider to Win


3. Aibak. Aerial Combat.

Except for couple of horses ,  Trainer SKS horses failed to place in first outing despite massive hype.  Even on-money favorite quoted at 60/100 on which lacs are wagered did not EVEN  Place. Not 1 or 2 but several horses.  Dharasana is facing relatively poor opposition.  Can do well.

Trainer Sreekant has 3 entries. Often see Third rated scum trainers in Hyderabad giving sound byte that that hopefully all their horses will do well. RHS is one such rogue. They want punters to believe that  their horses will finish 123. As if other trainers are fools. Invariably i have seen many cases where all 3-4 entries won't be sighted even for place. Deshmukh Ravinder Sreekant. All are in same boat.


4. Burano. Different.

Lot of speedy horses. Horses 123 will be fancied. Tough to pick. Low odds not worth. Hence picking long shots. 


5. Sun Dancer. Dillion.

Random picks.  If the intent is to select only AK CSJ horses in every race ,  no need to write in detail. Just type 2 names everyday.😅


6. Incredulous.  Her Legacy.

Big field.  Horses 5&9 too are good enough to Finish in top 3.


7. Challenger.  Silk.


Another vb junk to end November races.



Good day



 



Delhi

 

1.  Bagi. Golden Sixty. 

2.  Spartan X . Dashing Glow.

3.  Ashwa Calvari. Golden Guinea.

4. Undisputed. Adorable.

5.  Miss Marmalade. Go My Girl.

6. Big Girl.  Master Badal.


God luck

November 27, 2021

Pune derby day

 

Probably one of the days where most punters will not have many horses to choose from. My shortlisted too falls in same category. Does not mean others can't win but based on current form difficult to ignore fancied horses. But then we have seen bizarre results often .


1. Jubilant Journey.  Hell Bent.

Race restricted to this Jodi.


2. Arcadia. Giant Star


3. Sovereign Master.  Excelerator.

Difficult to pick any other on current form. 


5. Rambler. Exotique.

Horses 4 & 5 are likely to be fancied. 


6. Baby Bazooka.  Spinoza.


7. Love Warrior. Amped.


8. Queen O War. Sunrise.

Zuccareli is universal choice.


9. Commandment.  Lord Byron.


10. Spirit Bay. Pure.



1st . Odds don't seem right.  I don't like 4. Other 2 horses in the odds can win. 

24 with better ride can beat 22 .  

25 will carry over weight. Hence ignored 

3rd 2 very tough draw 14. 60.50 kgs.  

5-4 can lose. Inconsistent. 

6-6 long break though seen better class. I like Spinoza. Has beaten Dragoness . 

72 73 jodi. 

Big race fav is good but often upset in Derby. 

9th fav last run was bad. Others are not strong. Be default can win. If Derby won by PSC , can lay here easily. 

10-2 ran well on debut with work Jockey.  10-3 fair chance.


Good day

Dual centre race choices

 

@ kolkata.


1. Tasmania. Marcelito.

2. Exotic Queen. Cliffs of Capri.

3. Nova. D Night Mysore.

4. Silver Bracelet. Malwa.

5. Violin.  Shivansh.

6. Scruples. Kamilah.

7. Suestado. The Indicator.


@ Hyderabad.

1. Rhine.  Theos Choice.

2. City of Blessing. Fatuma.

3. Bernini.  Galwan.

4. N R I Sport.  Cosmico.

5. Superlative. Ashwa Nawaab.

6. Gregor Clegane.  NRI Touch.

7. Crazy Horse. Southern Princess.

8. Thunder Road. Big Day.


Dicey card at both centres. 

Good luck 

November 26, 2021

Blr choices

 

1.  Capable.  Raw Gold.

2.  The Sovereign ORB.  Dawn Rising.

3.  Phoenix Surprise. Win My Love.

4.  Powerful Lady. Griffin.

5.  Limited Source. Douglas.

6.  Tersita. Exalted Dream.

7.   Multifaceted. Golden Oaks.

8.   Perfect Rendition.   Mr Humble.

9. Devils Magic. Speed Seven.


Good day 

13 fair chance.  17 tough to guess merit of rider.  18 place only. 

2nd 😦. 

3rd is zero class.  

Favorite is running after 9 months  but far superior bunch it has raced . 

4-6 can be layed if odds reduce further. 

52 won over 1400. Today 1200.  Top weight. Worth laying.

6-12 7-2 😐. 

8th no whips. Looks open.  Fav not worth 12/10. 

9th  zero class 3-4 year old . By rating logic 1 4 7 8 are contenders.


3 junk vb races. 3 races below 50 paisa odds. 

Today tracks may be better .  So one can expect fancied runners to do well. But low odds does not justify bets.

 



November 24, 2021

Bangalore Races

Hopefully races will resume at this location after a long break.

PNR - 6.10.  Not the ideal day for racing.  Wont be surprised if Jockeys refuse to ride after few races.  Nor can rider falling off be ruled out.

My picks are as follows - 


1. Altair. Altamonte.

Junk Race meant for Juvenile riders in lowest class . Nobody can confidently recommend even a place bet due to the combined factors.


2. Eternal Blaze. Spectacular .

Race for maidens. Hopefully winner will be from the above 2.


3. Glorious Logan.  Max Muller.

Same as race 1.


4. Demeter.  Matera.

Maiden race.  Tough to pick as no recent trackwork visible due to adverse track conditions 


5. Lake Tahoe. First Impression.

Lot of out of form horses in fray along with mediocre riders. Options limited.


6. Lagarde. Salazaar.

Age competes with Class.


7. Christopher Wren. Striking Memory.

Horses 6-10 have least chance. Rest are in with a chance for whatever reasons.


8. Galactical. Striking Support.

3rd leg of Junk race .



1st 3rd  & 8th NO WHIP RACES. Class VB. Riders with unknown capability. Obvious junk horses in fray as evident by ratings. Basically Random Choices 

Races 2 & 4 maiden 3 year old , most of whom are making debut. One can't just go by pedigree or Jockey declared. 

Race 5 is dominated by Work Jockeys.  Thereby limiting choices.

Race 6 not much to choose. 

Condition of tracks is not known . Even if FIT for racing not easy for apprentice riders to handle Junk horses. Haphazard racing expected.

Foolish to bet at Low ODDS even if Horse is superior & faces no opposition. 

No Wishes for Good Luck. 😐

Wednesday Dual Centre races

 

Do look for Jockey declaration as couple of riders are Appearing in both centre race cards. Only if Replacent is competent it is worth wagering - that too if odds are decent - 

@ Mysore .


1. Saint Lucia. Shivalik Bullet.

2. Cappadocia. Safe Bet.

3. Ochre. Shivalik Admiral.

4. She's a Tiger.  Chilly breeze.

5. Guiding Force. Imitation Game.

6. Trust Bond.  Benghazi.

7. Bio Metric. D Darling.

8. Sadeek. Aberlour 


@ Hyderabad.


1. Meridia.  Selfie Girl.

2. Nightmare. In Contention.

3. Star Babe.  Win Vision.

4. Rividavia. Dream Jewel.

5. Miracle.  New Look.

6. Royal Pal.  Ice Berry.



Good day 




November 23, 2021

Delhi race choices

 

1.  Dil Maange More.  Master Badal.

2.  Royal Ascot . Amazing Jet.

3.  Raxion. Master Stoute.

4.  Lodge Keeper. Too Good.

5.  Noor. Global Target.

6.  Conquering Bid. Manali.


Good day 

November 20, 2021

Sunday Pune Races

 Here are the shortlisted horses.

 Do look for value bets. 





1. Chieftan. Sunlord.

Preference for younger LEGS though experienced horses have better credentials.


2.  Zuccarelli. Esfir.

Fancied horse has raced with Miracle. That by itself is enough to run at low odds.


3. Seminole.  Immeasurable.

Race has an open . Horses 2 & 10 will be fancied of which 2 has better credentials. 

Seminole last run was quite decent. Place looks good.


4.  Kinnara. Jughead.

Tough to look beyond fancied runners.

Perfect Man ran well on debut. Could Place.


6. Winter.  Chancellor.

Northern Lights may need longer trip.

Multistarrer was class 5 Winner. Faces superior opposition on promotion.


7. Born Queen.  Rambunctious.

Obvious support will be restricted to horses 1 & 2.   Over mile trip BQ may be able to beat AS.

Lowly rated horse may be able to place due to pull in weights though it is short of class.


8. Istanbul.  Sandra's Secret.

Zero class race.


Looking at card ,  couple of races , there is scope for Decent Odds  be it Win or Place. Not that only favorites will deliver in all races. Just that at times , it is difficult to back horses without form to win. 


Good day


November 18, 2021

Bangalore Friday races

 Status same as Tuesday 🌧️☔

November 15, 2021

Tuesday blr races

 🌧☔

No need to wait for official confirmation.


November 14, 2021

Monday hyd choices

 

1. Sergeant Reckless ,  Wind Sprite. 

First race for 2 year old's . 

Iam Neglecting favorite. 😊 For obvious reasons. 

2.  Open Affair.  1 More Time.

Race is an Open Affair. 

Despang took a lot of money in 2 outings. Rider declared now is thrash. Not worth as Favorite.

Big field , lot of hopeless horses ,may end up interfering others.

3.  Buckley.  Stunning Force.

Favorite is active on tracks for past few months. Facing ordinary bunch.  Can WIN , low odds probably. Below 70/100.

4. Knotty Dancer. Siyavash.

Opting for youngsters.

5. Solo Winner.  Lorena.

Junk O class race.

6. Cabello.  Garnet.

Fair chance for Cabello .  Lot of horses finishing way behind winner in previous outing.

7. Skipton. Lagos.

Competitive race. 

Scramjet has a tough task facing multiple competitors.  

NRI Valley , how long to keep the faith hoping that it delivers. 

Saffron Art - down in trip , regular rider discarded.

8. Red River.  Lightning Fairy.

O class



good day









2. 

2. 

November 13, 2021

Sunday choices

 

Pune starts early - looking at the odds , nothing much to analyse. Win odds low. Place odds obviously will be Low for those in the list.






1.  Flower Power. Fortune Cookie.


2. El Capitan. Sovereign Master.


3. Dear Lady. Braxton.

For a moment I thought it was Mysore card.


4. Red Merlot. Enigma.


5. Lord Byron.  Hela.


6. Fuhrer.  Endeavour.


7. Pure.  Mystical Rose.


8. Ciplad. Percivale.


9.  Well Speaking.  Trinklet.


Good luck 


Hyderabad has Compact Card. But not easier to shortlist horses. 

1.  Tomorrows Dreams. Once More.

AC just about managed to win over sprint distance after several failures.

2. Ashwa Raudee. Mirana.

Highly competitive race.  Several in the fray have credentials. 2 3 6 7 8 10. Tough to decide in absense of odds.  Usually one can have fair idea of odds & post choices. Sunday card tough to guess odds  in 2 4 5 6 races. 

3. Intense Approach.  Flying Jet.

Probably horses 6-11 are there for the numbers 

4. Trump Star. Different.

So many speedy horses in fray. 

1 2 3 5 7 8 10 11.

I have just opted for Long shots. Low investment . If fancied horses are choosen & it loses , lot of heartburn as bet will be Big Size ☹️

5. Ashwa Bravo. Victory Parade.

One more competitive race.  Rider capabilities will decide outcome.  

SB has best chance , odds may not be favourable.

6. Dream Station.  Count of Savoy.

Younger horses prefered though 4 year olds are more experienced & faced superior company. 

This too is a dicey race.


Good day





November 12, 2021

Saturday races

Card is dismal. Just posting Betting options.

only - If odds are above 1.25 for Win / Place . Not worth a wager at lower odds. 


1. Mother's Love - Place.

2. Adorinda - Win.

3. Nishk - Win // Amber Glow -  Place 

4. Dandi Satyagraha -  Win // Cormorant - Place. 

5. Nazakat - Win.

6. Jake - Win // Mountain Lion - Place.

7. Night Secret - Win // Daring Heart - Place


Pune -


3. Chezza - Place

4. Revolution - Place.

5. Dubai Skyline - Place.

6. Safdar / Jetfire - Place.

7. Agostino Carracci - Win // Raffaello - Place 

8. Black Cherry  - Place.


Good luck 















November 9, 2021

Mysore choices

 

1. Tracer Bullet. Rain Cloud.

Horses 1267 may finish double distance behind winner. Rest are contenders. 


2. Monte Greco. Orion Princess 

Junk VB Race.


3. San Vinto. Royal Design.

Lot of aged wornout horses in fray. Not to mention the Junk riders.


4. Super Brat.  Daddy's Girl.

Most in fray have finished 15+ lenghts behind Winner in past outings. Once they are ignored limited options. Age / Weight / Rider capability reasons to pick these 2.


5. D Brother. NRI Plan.

Competitive race. 


6. Lord Commander. Gold Field.

New begining ridden by mediocre junk rider , who has not won for ages even in Chennai 

Negative equipment horses not considered 


7. D Nakshatra. March to Victory.


Good day

November 8, 2021

Hyd races

 

First day of the winter season. Nothing changes except the tracks . Few horses tend to do well on these tracks compared to monsoon tracks. So reversal of form can be expected.

Trainer Sunderji has shifted base and brings in some quality horses which have raced in superior company in mumbai & hence may start as favorites. Can't ignore them but at same time can't back all of the horses. Lot of competitive races. 

Suggest stick to Place bets if Win odds are low for comfort.

Choices for the day with Pool options are ; 


1.  Furious Fun. Amalfitana.

Zero class junk race to start the day.

1 5 / 1 5 3 / 2 7


2. Show Me Your Walk. Nolan.

3 8 / 3 8 2 / 2 1 6


3. Narakamicir. NRI Sport.

6 3 / 6 3 2 9 / 4 9 


4. Flying Scotsman. Blue Origin.

3 2 / 3 2 / 5 6


5. Market King.  Burano.

3  11 / 3 10 11 / 10 7


6. Bold Bidding. Brilliant View.

4 1 / 1 4 3 / 5 3 7


7. New Look. Fire Power.

3 8 / 3 8 6 / 6 2 10


8. Silk. Winning Player.

4 5 / 4 5 8 / 8  2 9

Jackpot -  add / delete as required.


2 3 //  3 11 // 4 1 // 3 8 10 //  4


11 15 jodi speedy .17  older horse ❌. 

23 capable of beating 28.   

36 long break. Going by division logic can LOSE. 

43 seen better class. 42  won  impressively. 

 53 is older horse conceding weight. 10 or 11 can beat. 

61 looks tough division 2 top weight fully.  

7-8 not won long time. Fair chance . Low odds can lay. 

8th probably 4 can win. 8 looks doubtful




Good day





November 7, 2021

Sunday race choices

 

Odds based comments : 

1st - 4 & 6  have fair chance.  Many not raced over  2k distance . 

2-6  Odds not justified. Can lose. 

3- 1  I feel can beat 3-2 .

4-5 bright chance being younger horse . 

5th odds open. But 5-4 very difficult to win . 

6th nothing much to say due to low odds 😐 

7-10 looks doubtful. Race has open look as per odds 

8-5 has seen better opposition. Can win

Not many betting options. Few races races have open look. Look for fitness As most horses running after a long break.





1. Royal Castle. Memorable Moments. 

Long distance junk race.


2.  Scottish Scholar.  Spirit Bay.

Maidens.  None exceptional.


3.  Arcadia.  Bold Reply.

4.  Giant Star. Enid Blyton.

Limited options in these 2 races as there are only 2 payouts.


5.  Silver Flames. Mystic Bay 

Could go any which way.

 Ignored older horses which are conceding weight.


6.  Alicia. Petronia.

Fav at low odds.

Not a bettable race.


7. Multiencrypted.  Seminole.

Preference for younger horses. Those rated below 30 , tough to wager over mile trip.


8. Alastair.  Fuhrer .

Low odds case.


Good day



November 5, 2021

Kol races Saturday

 






Lesser races , less money to Lose 😄.  Punter can decide to skip as Odds are expected to be low in few races.  If it was bangalore races , would have meant -  more races & confusing odds to TRAP punters.


1.  Free Bird.  Bemuse.

2.  Discover. Joanna.

3.  Basharat.  Sharavati.

4.  Legendary Striker. After Shock.

5.  Violin. Soaring High.

6.  Rare Bird. Essos.


Good day

Blr Races ☹️

It has been raining non stop 9pm onwards..


At this rate only Swimming competition can be held tom at the club.



November 3, 2021

Thursday Mysore Races

 

Yesterday whatsapp odds was way off the mark. 

1st race  1-7 1-9 jodi. Dasrath is very messy rider. So chance for 1-7 . 

2nd race 2 - 8 is vb horse running in class 4. So to me ,  lay bet. 

3rd race -  3-1 looks superior but concedes weight.  3-3 can win.  

4th race - 3 &  5 fight. 3-4 at best place.   

5- 3❌ 5-8 needs 1400. 

6-9 not possible. I feel 2-2 has edge over 6-6







Small compact card of 6 races.  


Owner Tajamul Waseem Khan unheard off  has maximum entries. Not sure if he won Dubai lottery recently to invest so much on horses to race in Mysore . Bookies will be clearly aware which of his horses will be onboard for the next few months.


Choices &  Exacta preferences are as follows. 


Can use the same for Tanala & Forecast.


1. Come Alive.  Aquila D Oro.

7 9 / 7 9 2 8 / 3 / 7 9 2 8


2. She's a Tiger , Frosted.

 2 5  / 2 5 3 8 / 2 5 3 8 / 7 1


3. San Vito. Naval Wrestler.

1 3 / 1 3 2 / 1 3 2 /  5 6


4. D Hunter. Electricity.

3 5 / 3 5 7 8 / 3 5 7 8 / 4


5. Rare & Bold. Crimson Fire.

2 4 /  2 4 3 5 /  1 7 / 2 4 3 5


6.  Aurelia. Aberlour.

2 6 / 2 6 1 / 2 6 1 3 / 3 9


Good day

Mysore choices

 

Not sure how genuine these ODDS are.  Odds based analysis - 


1. 2- 1.25 6-1.8 11-4

2. 5-1.2 8-2.75 12- 1.25

3.1-3.5 2 -2 9-1.6

4. 3 - 35/100

5. 5- 50/100 9 - 3.25

6. 2 - 0.90 9 - 1.8

7. 1 - 1.8 8 - 1.4

8. 3 - 3/1 4 - 3.25 10 - 3.25

1-2 best to lay if odds remain steady . 

2-5 today doubtful. 

3- 9 has credentials but all horses long break. If odds reduce lay. 

4-3  field poor but nothing to lose if layed. 

5-5  why Umesh not given this ride. If laying it is for Rider.  

6-2 can win. 6-9 repair case low weight. 

7-1 last few runs poor. Demotee.  

8 th looks open





Shortlisted horses are - 

1. Pavan Putra .  Trust Bond.


2. Raptor. Engelberg.


3. Breaking News. Kings Command.


4. Daring Prince.  Theas Gift.


5. Chasini.  Heroism.


6. His Eminence. Vachan.


7. Sporto.  Cresendo .


8. Wind Power. Gintoki.


Good day

November 1, 2021

Blr Tuesday races

 

1-3 has good rider. Aged horse. 1-4 is repair case. 1- 10 speedy. Anyways this is junk race so favorites rarely oblige.  

2-1 is past the post as per odds 😐. 

3rd is junk. Looks open. 9 looks doubtful considering its earlier runs over longer trips 

4-1 has fair claims but at that odds worth laying. 

5-12 barely above 40 rating. Has weight advantage presence of aged horses but can Lose.  

6-1 seen better class. Need to confirm body weight. 

If +15 kgs best to lay for any favorite. 


7-12 rated 21 basically zero class. Surprise to see it as fav. Lay.  

8th in all probability upset. Fav has failed past outings.







1. Iconic Princess. Light of Love.

2. Southern Chrome. Demeter.

3. Crimson Heart. Adela. 

4. Four Wheel Drive.  Johnnie Black.

5. Osiris. Silver Dew.

6. Knight in Hooves. Pecanwood.

7. Ombudsun. Mistletoe.

8. Jack Ryan. Classic Charm.


Good day

Race schedule

 Full month races.

No wonder bookies are back.

Club needs revenue to settle dues to government. With 4-5% commission on Tote Turnover impossible to settle as lot of expenses involved in tote operations.

Hence easy way out. Collect stall fees from those ready to pay.


How will bookies recover their  

"  DAILY Expenses ".   


Easy to guess.  

Benami ownership - can decide how the horse will run.

Links with dubious trainers / owners who will sacrifice a horse just for a few lacs.

If above option is costly , pay a few thousands to the concerned rider to do the needful.

That's the scenario in blr / mys.