1-6 won with allowance rider - 54.50 less 5 kgs - today with penalty - 59.50 - trainer opts for full rider. I would rule it out . Rest anyone .
2-4 Probably if 2-1 rider is unable to do justice.
3-3 no comments required.
4-5 to me is not possible .
5-1 5-2. Jodi.
6th odds not clear. 345 anyone .
7-3 no comments.
8-1 only threat to 8-4 low price.
9th fav #4 can lose.
10th -2 subject to rider Capability can win. Rider on 5 - performance on 2-1 can be used as reference.
Long card , punters may think it is easy to make tonnes of money playing on-money favorites 🙂.
1. A race in lowest class. No FIRM favorites as is the norm. There will be 4-5 contenders each having claims based on its recent performance. Going to be tough to back any horse confidently for WIN.
Multiencrypted & Charming Star do have claims for PLACE.
2. Genuine class 1 race. Not much is known about the rider on Northern Lights. Result will depend on his judgement on the tracks. Multiple entries visible.
Kamaria & Caprisca have least chance to figure in top 2.
So rest 4 have a chance. Being 2 payout race even Odds may not be useful to decide as shorter the Odds greater the risk. Low odds for win or place does not indicate certainty. It is a temptation to lose by betting on wrong horse.
3. A race for 2 year old maidens.
Pedigree of Trainer - Jockey or Horse ?
Usually most of the horses show decent tracks .
Waikiki & MI Arion may perform well. Not sure if Place odds merit a bet.
4. Horses 1 & 4 have lost form. Tough to consider though there is possibility of Gazino doing well as it faces lower rated horses. Demoted from class 1 where as lowest rated horse is from class 3.
Mozelle is the younger horse with advantage of low weights but is lowest rated and carries high risk since it has not raced tough opponents since making debut.
Horses 2 & 3 have some claims based on recent efforts.
With 2 payouts , this race is a bit tricky to bet.
5. Coeur De Lion has raced with classic contenders , younger horse which can perform well due to -5 kg allowance rider.
AAH Bella has seen better opposition though it has not WON a single race & yet rated 54.
By default Zarak has claims to finish in top 2 as horses 3 & 5 are inconsistent.
With just 5 in fray & probably only 3 in contention for top 2 spots , decision to wager at low odds is left to punter.
6. Just 6 horses in the sprint million.
Ashwa Bravo has lost form. Horses 2345 are contenders . 2 are from same owner. Fast rain has scope to do well being younger horse.
Not sure who will cut the pace , which will ultimately decide outcome. 2 payouts only. Easy to pick 😶
7.With the withdrawl of one horse , field reduced to 7 , which is a advantage to the book makers. Race for 2 year old juveniles a couple of whom have debuted earlier.
Pedigree wise EATON Square has no opposition. But finally the horse has to prove its mettle on the race tracks. Probably low odds favorite.
Nirvana & She's a Teaser are showing some good tracks.
8. Big race of the DAY.
Horses rated below 40 have no chance as everyone knows. Hence 3567 are ruled out. Thunberg just about managed to win a maiden race but subsequently lost in class 4 to older horse
Hence universal choices are Kings Ransom , Dangerous & Faith.
Punters have to keep Faith in their selections & bet for Win which is dangerous as 2/3 are from same trainer.
Place odds is not worth wagering.
9. Zero class race.
If recent form is criteria then -
Daulat Mai - Esfir & Intense Belief are contenders. But do remember prior to recent run Daulat Mai had performed miserably losing by 20+lenghts many times.
Esfir carries penalty.
Intense Belief has let down whenever backed.
Caprifla was fancied a couple of times but failed. Spiritual Rock entrusted to work rider for odds . Midas Touch highest rated has Won earlier in same class
10. Dilbar - Stars for You - Trinklet are superior than the rest. Rest depends on the Odds & confidence on respective riders .
Good luck