Thoughts,opinions and musings of a restless Blogger. What I see from where I am & how I see it. You could say , original & insightful , therefore this blog exists. It gives me deep fulfillment if it could give happiness to the reader
February 27, 2017
28th Feb.. Dual centre races
@ kolkatta..
1. Treasure Island. Glorious Run.
2. Avilome Vilome. Roman Ridges.
3. Shining Melody. Fabienne.
4. Silken Grace. Duke of Earl.
5. Mercedes. Gravity.
6. Suzanne. Make Way For Me.
7. Serendine. Ambries.
8. Bubbly Bellini. Top Cat.
@ Delhi.
1. Black Pepper. Ensign.
2. Blue Horse. Rios Girl.
3. Peregrine. Zaroon.
4. Kirpan . Bella Mia.
5. Rios Princess. Bulgerian.
6. Lady. Bold Opinion.
7. Love You Lots. Bhitski.
Good day
February 26, 2017
Hyd 27 th races
As per prospectus ...Last day of hyd winter racing season..
Shortlisted Long shots except in quality races ...favorites may in limelight on extra day races framed.
1. Tinsel Town. Catherine
2. Bayrd. China Millennium.
3. Euro Zone. George Cross.
4. Dandy Girl. Rapidest.
5. Cannon Grey. Valee Tiger.
6. Alameda. Time for Fun.
7. Highly Acclaimed. Star Gazer.
8. Camborne.Legacy. Sprint Legend.
9. Roma Rogue. Prep One.
Good day
Edited at 3 pm
February 24, 2017
Friday choices
Chicago. Moher.
Super Smart. Cadillac Sky.
Lofty Thoughts. Malana.
Splendid Splasher . Honour.
Life Awaits. Top Spot.
Calico King. Erdemir.
Breaking Away. Goat.
Racing Fire. Possimpossible.
Good day
February 22, 2017
Last day Mys races
1. Napolean Dynamite.AL Dahma.
2. Ruthba. Counter Point.
3. Brown Fairy. Amazing Beauty.
4. Felix Legion. Skyfullofstars.
5. Golden Steps. Clouds.
6. Aliboxer. Sardinia.
7. Country's Power. Anonymous.
8. 9..Skip
10. Tremendous. Tiger of Mysore.
11. Moroccan. Dare the Don.
Good day..
February 21, 2017
Tuesday races
1. Xperience. Sam Houston.
2. Apple. Secret Builder.
3. The Straddle.
4. Pouru Chisti. Mariska.
5. Bacaardi. Lucky Streak.
6. Half Volley. Mind of Madness.
7. Romantic Magic.
1. Money Plant. Giorgio.
2. Golden. Marni Moto.
3. Quest for Love. Anarkali.
4. Cocoanut. Hardy.
5. Country Music. Sea Storm.
6. Spring to Fame. Ashwa Gaurvi.
7. Spyharina. Golden Indian.
Good day..
February 19, 2017
HYD ....Monday races
Fancied runners are expected to dominate...
1. Ambitious Approach. New Comer.
2. Clarissa
3. Fabulous Art. Money Time.
4. Amazing Response. Arc of History.
5. Green Image. Batur.
6. Whisper . TaTa.
7. Golden Xanthus. Forever Bullish.
8. Sea Castle. Ashwa Raftar.
9. Ragas Ajalias. Mir Field.
Good day..
Sunday Special
Both centres... Card is terrible..
Those who wish to proceed...
1. Pentagon. Sher Afghan.
2. Arrow 3 . Turf Legend.
3. Symbol of Gold. Own Battle.
4. Wonder Star. MidNight in Paris.
5. Dahlois. Canberra.
6. Limitation. Khoshgel.
7. Bouncer. My Choice.
8. King of Pop. Vijays Joy.
9. Onk Onk Onk. Trustful.
Gymkhana race ..Options ..
2. Pure Zinc.
3. Dance Debonaire. Koal.
4. Adams Begining. Riot of Colors.
5. Volantis. Eigers Tiger.
6. Miss Money Penny. SoloMission.
7. Zanzibar. Glorious Eyes.
8. Fringe Benefit. Rock In Rio.
Good day
February 17, 2017
Sat Dual Races
Shortlisted few horses for consideration.. no particular reason to list 1 in front of other ..Hence do consider both as good enough ..as Self Imposed ban on TP continues..Don't conclude he Won't win any.. and only my choices have better credentials..
If place odds are reasonable ....worth a each way wager.. if Win odds are itself Low.. best to skip as Lot of upsets noticed ..POST derby..across all clubs...
1. New Challenger. Bournville.
2. Home Monteray. Xipen.
3. Leopard Creek. MidNight Star.
4. Running Hand. Bang Bang.
5. Pothus. Protector of Troy.
6. Danceress.
7. Artic Convoy. Jack Knife.
8. Artificial. Cool Conqueror.
Good day..
@ Mumbai....
Never supported this night racing right from inception..Often results are utterly ridiculous & none could even dream of such eventuality. Majority framed for junk in lower class ..how Can anyone decide the best of worst..
1. Flying Dragon. Uncle Scoorge.
Class 3 at start of season are my picks... Facing horses which won VB ..Just about recently.. hence horses 345 don't appeal.
2. Kramer. Oracle..
Multiple entries from pigheads Lagad Dallas & Abbas.. there is no certainty on any of them.. often unfancied runners from these yards Win..
In absence of Clarity .. have picked these 2..
If not convinced..Skip the race of bet on favorites as that is easiest option for punters.
3. Pillatus. Star of Harmony.
Older horses are ignored.. from the rest limited options.
4. Bohemian. Pacific Dunes.
Vb race.. 1000 metres. 20 in fray..
Insane to confidently follow handicapping logic..
5. Smart Choice. Time of My Life.
Evergreen vb..
6. Korol. Ancient Glory..
Highest rated Lucas seems Best but last run ? Top weight.. Rider merit / odds.. not worth...
7. Queen Credible. Art Deco.
8. Cristo Boss. Knights Quest.
Another vb race..
Good day
February 16, 2017
Blog update
Due to unexpected health setback..which rendered me inactive. Racing took backseat..
Posting choices without clarity may not help anyone...
Hopefully.. weekend races will be covered..
February 13, 2017
14 th Delhi races
1. Take Over Target. Al Sahail.
2. Miss Universe. Swan Lake.
3. Orbit. GodsTouch.
4. Love You Lots. Miss Bullet.
5. RoopMantra. Sea Storm.
6. Daring. Loveable.
7. Rewarding. Gallop Away.
Good day...
February 12, 2017
HYD 13 th
Hi all..
Choices are as follows..
1. Top Contender. Negress Pearl.
2. Vallee Sceptre. Amorous White.
This is No Whip Race..Usually we only see Handicap races with allowance riders competing .. this is first time Terms race without Whip .. tough to decide..
3. Hope Is Eternal.
4. Rohini. Dawning Hope.
5. Shivalik Bird. Market Leader.
6. Princess of Dreams. Ashwa Ashoka.
7. Yes Baby. Princess.
8. Secret Art. Avantika.
9. Vijays Empress. Magnum.
A few of Jockey L.B will be favorites.. have ignored them for obvious reasons as Got Aboard Rider is not very reliable..
Good day..
February 11, 2017
Mum / HYD races 12 th Feb
Long day ahead.. post derby time to look for surprises ..As form goes for a toss.
1. Gran Paradiso. Angel Girl.
Race may be dominated by 4 year olds..
Viking & Command Performance have weights in favour..no Form to back it's claims.. one of them may Place.
GP - Rider took a break during previous weekend.. going by law of averages has to strike Tom. A fair chance but not worth a wager if price is below 2 to 1 as horse is racing over this trip for first time
AG - weights should not be an issue. For highest rated horse...mediocre Rider assigned..Hope he does justice ..
2. Pugnacious. Daishonin.
M.Delta has raced in classics ..Hence higher rated..A non Winner for ages..Not listed here as TP is riding.. those confident can go ahead as it has improved from the time it lost to Pugnacious...
Pugnacious..Has beaten MD under adverse handicap earlier .. should hopefully Place .. can Win if MD falters. Returning after long layoff.. as low priced fav..Best to AVOID..
3. Jack Frost. Alaindair.
Alaindair will be short priced favorite.
Conceding weight..Facing younger opponents ..Not a certainty.
4. Carbonara.. Bounty Queen. Flashy Wings.
Carbonara has raced with superior opposition in recent past but was ridden by junk riders.. as field is relatively inferior here can do well if horse is FIT.
Lot of contenders in this race..Picking horses by consistency & odds offered.
On rwitc site..Night odds ..All horses are appearing.. such a farce..
5. Windsor Forest. Fair Warning.
Honestly no clue , As this is race for maidens.. hoping one of these does well.
6. Congressional. Holy Smoke.
Tough to pick due to presence of many sprinters of repute.
3.4 have no form.. ignored..
6.9 are ignored for non racing reasons.
1.2 are linked..Prefer 2 due to age.
Champagne has no class... Gold Bag may at best Place.
7. Irish Bailey. Brothers of the Wind.
Class 4 race.. could go any which way. Preference for younger horses who have atleast Won ..a race recently.
8. Sporto . Chizzler.
Good day..
@ HYD ....
Most of my picks may be at Longer odds...If willing to take a risk ... try each way... Playing favorites at fag end if season is not recommended ..A few may win but punters can't be selective..
1. Sensational Girl. Buckshee.
2. Raajneeti. Somerset.
Four entries from trainer LDS out if 7 runners..
3. Al Sadr. Monte Rosa.
4. Movie Moghual. Western Wind.
5. Seven Colors. Without Make Up.
6. Bharat Queen . Dream Vision.
7. Greek Star. Mangalyaan.
8. Delta Force. Grand Canyon.
9. Vijays Wonder. Amazing Venus.
Good day..
February 10, 2017
Kol / Bng races
Kol card looks tempting .. not accepted at Blr due to live races here. Early start at Kol.. no clue on Odds..Hoping that atleast 10/20 choices finish in top 3..
1. Earnest Ruler. Big Bang.
2. Rustler. My Lady Luck.
3. Footloose. Pure Sin.
4. Fury. Sweet Stone.
5. Celerino. Stand & Dance.
6. Cool Conqueror. Supreme Ruler.
7. City Heights. Simply Royale.
8. Shivalik Heroine. Triumphus.
9. Jacobin. Hartnell
10. Mercedes. Glorious Leaps.
Good day..
At Blr.. results were topsy turvy on Friday.. hopefully fancied runners will do well.. does not mean I suggest bets on short priced Favorites listed below..
They can be ignored for obvious reasons...
1. Buscadaro. Mystical Shadow.
Junk race as good as vb going by past performances..dominated by dubious trainer's & mediocre riders.
2. Claire. Winsomeness.
Pure vb junk..
3. Nyssa. Jayadratha.
But for prev outing Winner # 1 and # 3..Which look outhandicapped.. many are junk.. fancied duo can't be backed due to odds.. place or each way on any of these 2 may fetch decent payouts..
4. Rafa . Integrated.
Limited options.
5. Star Lord. Psychic Warrior..
Feature event... Fav is not a certainty as it is facing debutants / conceding weight.
6. Balian . Masada.
7. Super Strong. Massive Dynamics.
8. Red Admiral. Rare & Famous.
Good day..
February 9, 2017
Blr - Friday races
Racing resumes after a LONG break by betting standards..
1. Splendid Brave , Oriental Belle.
Vb race ..Are these the best ?? Not by any means.. but tote / bookie favorites rarely do well in these junk races.. intent is to look at value bets..
2. Erstklassig , Match Point.
Most in fray are Non Winners..Those bred well are still rotting without Winning a single race..With 2 payouts & fancied runner looking good enough to finish in 1-2 ... Difficult to pick worst of the rest...
3. Good Earth , Don't Fully Dally.
Race for maidens..Many debutants in fray having impeccable bloodlines..
One more tough race to call / bet.
4. Rich Revival , Cool Baby.
Multiple contenders. Noble Flair is out handicapped..Interesting with low weights may at best Place.
Amazing Redd did all the running over 1400 before losing at post..Facing genuine sprinters..Hence ignored.
Secret Dimension - distance sharp..
Mill Rose has no form..Tronada has not Won for long.. Cool Baby has junk Rider ..But odds may be liberal for Place.
5. Booker Jones. Let the Lion Roar.
Cameron has beaten a few in fray in earlier occasions.. TP in saddle..
Booker Jones has been seen in many graded races.. has a good Rider..Good chance.
6. Paradiso. Flotus.
Multiple entries from Dubious Narredu clan.
All non performers / junk riders are best ignored..
7. Tea Wid Me. Goat.
Hoping that both these horses Finish in top 3..
8. Reference. Empress of Rome.
Many contenders..Choices based on Rider capabilities..
Good luck..
February 4, 2017
Derby Day
Hi all.
7 races to wager for Punters , most of them are competitive & has maximum runners unlike other race days where only 4-5 horses are seen in action.
Upsets or Higher payouts occur when there is uncertainty on outcome of race or there is too much hype on just 2-3 horses resulting in other horses being Ignored. Not sure if any race on derby day qualifies on that count.. posting this at 12.45 pm , scheduled to publish by 6 pm.
Anything missed out , will update on race day along with JP choices...
Good luck in advance ...
1. Shivalik Shine . Abbey.
Serenita has a fair chance , ignored here due to presence of TP.
Undisputed is a good horse but not having Winning form.
Celtic Prince may find trip a bit short for Comfort.
SS was an impressive Winner .. a good jump from gates & it can repeat though it is conceding weight.
Abbey - could Place.
2. Foolish to post a choice or Wager..
3. Soverignity. Komandant.
Derby distance trip in class 4.
Imitation Game is a good horse but running after a long break. May or may not ..
Sanam has been doing very well over longer trips despite age.. however mediocre rider in saddle
Raees - after many listless runs managed to Win in last outing .. another junk rider seen doing duty.. with Penalty looks difficult for Win.
Komandant .. upset chance over this trip.
Fancied runner has fair credentials. Presence of Sandesh is a positive factor.
4. Brazos. Elsa. Astara
Random picks ...as this is class VB JUNK event.
Lady named has raced with better bunch..
First Two can go the trip.. fair chance..
5. Zanara . Gold Bond. Perfect Star.
Tough race as many are running over this distance for first time... a few debutants too..
Horse ridden by PSC is good ..but stables are highly inconsistent & a intent may not be there as trophy is in name of Late Owner.
Zanara was a failed favorite , lost due to pathetic handling..with better saddle support from David Allan - a fair chance.
Gold Bond , We Break the Rules , Admo are all in with a chance to do well.. race time pointers may help..
6. Benefactor. Lady Sergeant . Gallant Knight.
Million race for maidens... tough task to pick due to presence of many good horses having excellent pedigree + impressive trackworks.
Hoping that Winner is from the Shortlisted Three & atleast 2 of them fill the frame.
7. The feature event of the Day...
Having regard to the previous runs , it is evident that the race is restricted to just 4-5 horses and no big upsets can be expected. Which amongst these will do well is anybody's guess. As far as i am concerned this is Just another race for Punters.No special additional dividend offered by club.
I have mentioned about the chances of Horses in earlier post in the blog..
Suffice to say that in my reading of the race ....
SAA. Temerity. Hall of Famer . Mrs Patmore & Lucas are the contenders . Wagering will depend on Odds on offer for Win or Place.
8. Shaoqing. Minstrel Heights.
A dubious bookmaker who earns his Income by fixing races is sponsoring races. That should give a fair indication of How low RWITC has sunk..
good day
CJP ..
4 5 7 / 4 7 12 / 2 5 8 11 / 7 10 11 13 / 9
Good luck once again
February 3, 2017
4 th Feb Races
@ HYD..
1. Money Time . Proud Warrior.
MT is expected to complete formalities.. obviously low priced fav..
P.Warrior & Turf Legend are capable enough to Place..Bet if any will depend on Odds on offer..
2. True Hymn. Amazing Response.
A Jodi race..Latter is better bred & comes from performing stables..Former is speedy..
3. Vijays Joy. Sans Peur.
Only 2 payouts.. Carlton & Pentagram are no hopers.. with dual / dubious entries ...Difficult to bet with Conviction..
4. Play It Cool. Cannon Hope..
Same horses running every week over various distances.. class vb..Nothing certain.. those who last the Trip will fare well.. no past form to go by merit..
5. George Cross . Mandy.
Horses 1.7.9 have least chance to Even Place.. AAA has poor saddle support.
Post penalty Sea Castle may at best Place.
6. Kiss N Chase. Jem Star.
Lot of junk riders / horses.. hoping one of these Win..
7. Vijays Delight. Green Striker.
Those rated below 40 are hopeless Repair cases... From the rest Sonic has been running so often & most often trailing field .
8. Ta Ta .. Green Memories..
Long distance event.. limited options as horses 1.2.8.9 may struggle over this trip.
Good day..
At Mumbai.
Horses ridden by TP + FIRM favorites ridden by few other riders are not suggested here.. so my picks may not be for Win necessarily... Do look for each way options ....Those who back favorites will anyways go ahead ..Ignoring blog choices...
1. Solo Mission. Ascension.
2. Spiridon. Comic Timing.
3. Flying Dragon. Silken Eyes.
4. Glyndebourne. Tutankhamun.
5. Forest Fire. Generous Lady.
6. Cateleya. Deep Diver.
7. Kodiak Queen. Petronius.
8. Cyclone. Captain.
Good luck..
February 2, 2017
3 rd Feb Blr Races
hi all ,
limited analysis ..tough to pick Winners in most races..ideally go by race time pointers ...hopeful that more than 10/16 would Place.
1.Sky Bound , Noble Princess.
Class Vb race .. usually minefield for punters due to lack of form .. presence of TP on Slightly Blonde may be for the bookies
2.Liege Lord , Proud Prince.
These 2 appeal .. though there are a few more consistent horses in the fray..
3.Mulholland , Botswana Bolt.
Race for maidens , a few making debut. Difficult to assess based on tracks , pedigree can be useful at times , not always. Hoping both of these horses are competent to make it in top 3.
4.Grecian Light , Island Pearl.
One more pathetic race , if we go thro Jockey declaration / past performance of horses .. very few options Open..
5.Solomon , Smile Stone .
Low rated horses can't Win for obvious reasons.
Mickey Mouse is the speediest of the lot , frequent change of riders / distance does have an impact on how the horse performs. When so many competent riders are available , why opt for mediocre I.Chisty.
New Prince - did well last start impressively .. not many good riders were seen in that race. Win may be low ..not worth a risk in feature event..
Mys based horse rarely do well elsewhere..
6.African Emperor , War Envoy.
Can't suggest TP Horse , Native has least chance , lot of repair cases in fray , entrusted to DUD riders. I;have Got Clout has been quite consistent .. may Place again.
7.Stella Mari, Divino.
Another low class race , many dud riders in action.
8.Summer Star , Goat.
Favorite , Free Style has a fair chance .. but at top weight , not very decent odds & TP astride i prefer to Skip.
Otherwise this event too is pathetic.
Good day
Indian Derby -
At acceptance stage 14 runners , as i read it following 8 horses - Bold March.Highland Breeze.Mathaiyus.Salazaar.Supreme General. Vulcan . Silver Beauty & Winter Renaissance have practically Zero chance to Win ...Luck of the race may help one of them to Place.
Odds may be above 60 to 1 Win & 10 to 1 Place on most of them. Expect 5 to 1 for S.Beauty & Mathaiyus..If even one of them is able to make it to TOP 3 it would be a miracle.
From the rest ..Germanicus after Hyd run may have support but the field it beat was quite poor. Not sure if it can improve so much so as to Beat horses to which it lost earlier.
Lucas has potential , but no experience in big classics...distance suitability may also be an issue. But can't be ruled out.
Hall of Famer may not be able to match strides with SAA..if the latter can make the 2400 metres. Many a time .. a confident aggressive ride by David Allan makes a difference to the outcome of the race...
Mrs Patmore has beaten HOF earlier but lost to Temerity.Over extended distance tactics & riding abilities matter as past results have proven.With many interlinked horses in fray , difficult to assess on Current form.
Temerity Won impressively in the Oaks ..have to see if it can replicate beating the colts in the fray.
My estimate of Odds for whatever they are worth -
SAA - below 1.50 .. favorite
Temerity - 4 to 1
Hall of Famer - 5 to 1
Mrs Patmore - 8 to 1 Win & 1.5 for Place.
Lucas - 15 to 1 Win & 3 to 1 Place.
Germanicus - 20 to 1 , 4 to 1 Place.
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